Principles Policy Management Institutions

A criticism of the article "Six monetarist errors: why emission won't feed inflation"

(be gentle, it's my first RI attempt, :P; I hope I can make justice to the subject, this is my layman understanding of many macro subjects which may be flawed...I hope you can illuminate me if I have fallen short of a good RI)
Introduction
So, today a heterodox leaning Argentinian newspaper, Ambito Financiero, published an article criticizing monetarism called "Six monetarist errors: why emission won't feed inflation". I find it doesn't properly address monetarism, confuses it with other "economic schools" for whatever the term is worth today and it may be misleading, so I was inspired to write a refutation and share it with all of you.
In some ways criticizing monetarism is more of a historical discussion given the mainstream has changed since then. Stuff like New Keynesian models are the bleeding edge, not Milton Friedman style monetarism. It's more of a symptom that Argentinian political culture is kind of stuck in the 70s on economics that this things keep being discussed.
Before getting to the meat of the argument, it's good to have in mind some common definitions about money supply measures (specifically, MB, M1 and M2). These definitions apply to US but one can find analogous stuff for other countries.
Argentina, for the lack of access to credit given its economic mismanagement and a government income decrease because of the recession, is monetizing deficits way more than before (like half of the budget, apparently, it's money financed) yet we have seen some disinflation (worth mentioning there are widespread price freezes since a few months ago). The author reasons that monetary phenomena cannot explain inflation properly and that other explanations are needed and condemns monetarism. Here are the six points he makes:
1.Is it a mechanical rule?
This way, we can ask by symmetry: if a certainty exists that when emission increases, inflation increases, the reverse should happen when emission becomes negative, obtaining negative inflation. Nonetheless, we know this happens: prices have an easier time increasing and a lot of rigidity decreasing. So the identity between emission and inflation is not like that, deflation almost never exists and the price movement rhythm cannot be controlled remotely only with money quantity. There is no mechanical relationship between one thing and the other.
First, the low hanging fruit: deflation is not that uncommon, for those of you that live in US and Europe it should be obvious given the difficulties central banks had to achieve their targets, but even Argentina has seen deflation during its depression 20 years ago.
Second, we have to be careful with what we mean by emission. A statement of quantity theory of money (extracted from "Money Growth and Inflation: How Long is the Long-Run?") would say:
Inflation occurs when the average level of prices increases. Individual price increases in and of themselves do not equal inflation, but an overall pattern of price increases does. The price level observed in the economy is that which leads the quantity of money supplied to equal the quantity of money demanded. The quantity of money supplied is largely controlled by the [central bank]. When the supply of money increases or decreases, the price level must adjust to equate the quantity of money demanded throughout the economy with the quantity of money supplied. The quantity of money demanded depends not only on the price level but also on the level of real income, as measured by real gross domestic product (GDP), and a variety of other factors including the level of interest rates and technological advances such as the invention of automated teller machines. Money demand is widely thought to increase roughly proportionally with the price level and with real income. That is, if prices go up by 10 percent, or if real income increases by 10 percent, empirical evidence suggests people want to hold 10 percent more money. When the money supply grows faster than the money demand associated with rising real incomes and other factors, the price level must rise to equate supply and demand. That is, inflation occurs. This situation is often referred to as too many dollars chasing too few goods. Note that this theory does not predict that any money-supply growth will lead to inflation—only that part of money supply growth that exceeds the increase in money demand associated with rising real GDP (holding the other factors constant).
So it's not mere emission, but money supply growing faster than money demand which we should consider. So negative emission is not necessary condition for deflation in this theory.
It's worth mentioning that the relationship with prices is observed for a broad measure of money (M2) and after a lag. From the same source of this excerpt one can observe in Fig. 3a the correlation between inflation and money growth for US becomes stronger the longer data is averaged. Price rigidities don't have to change this long term relationship per se.
But what about causality and Argentina? This neat paper shows regressions in two historical periods: 1976-1989 and 1991-2001. The same relationship between M2 and inflation is observed, stronger in the first, highly inflationary period and weaker in the second, more stable, period. The regressions a 1-1 relationship in the high inflation period but deviates a bit in the low inflation period (yet the relationship is still there). Granger causality, as interpreted in the paper, shows prices caused money growth in the high inflation period (arguably because spending was monetized) while the reverse was true for the more stable period.
So one can argue that there is a mechanical relationship, albeit one that is more complicated than simple QTOM theory. The relationship is complicated too for low inflation economies, it gets more relevant the higher inflation is.
Another point the author makes is that liquidity trap is often ignored. I'll ignore the fact that you need specific conditions for the liquidity trap to be relevant to Argentina and address the point. Worth noting that while market monetarists (not exactly old fashioned monetarists) prefer alternative explanations for monetary policy with very low interest rates, this phenomena has a good monetary basis, as explained by Krugman in his famous japanese liquidity trap paper and his NYT blog (See this and this for some relevant articles). The simplified version is that while inflation may follow M2 growth with all the qualifiers needed, central banks may find difficulties targeting inflation when interest rates are low and agents are used to credible inflation targets. Central banks can change MB, not M2 and in normal times is good enough, but at those times M2 is out of control and "credibly irresponsible" policies are needed to return to normal (a more detailed explanation can be found in that paper I just linked, go for it if you are still curious).
It's not like monetary policy is not good, it's that central banks have to do very unconventional stuff to achieve in a low interest rate environment. It's still an open problem but given symmetric inflation targeting policies are becoming more popular I'm optimistic.
2 - Has inflation one or many causes?
In Argentina we know that the main determinant of inflation is dollar price increases. On that, economic concentration of key markets, utility price adjustments, fuel prices, distributive struggles, external commodity values, expectatives, productive disequilibrium, world interest rates, the economic cycle, stationality and external sector restrictions act on it too.
Let's see a simple example: during Macri's government since mid 2017 to 2019 emission was practically null, but when in 2018 the dollar value doubled, inflation doubled too (it went from 24% to 48% in 2018) and it went up again a year later. We see here that the empirical validity of monetarist theory was absent.
For the first paragraph, one could try to run econometric tests for all those variables, at least from my layman perspective. But given that it doesn't pass the smell test (has any country used that in its favor ignoring monetary policy? Also, I have shown there is at least some evidence for the money-price relationship before), I'll try to address what happened in Macri's government and if monetarism (or at least some reasonable extension of it) cannot account for it.
For a complete description of macroeconomic policy on that period, Sturzenegger account is a good one (even if a bit unreliable given he was the central banker for that government and he is considered to have been a failure). The short version is that central banks uses bonds to manage monetary policy and absorb money; given the history of defaults for the country, the Argentinian Central Bank (BCRA) uses its own peso denominated bonds instead of using treasury bonds. At that time period, the BCRA still financed the treasury but the amount got reduced. Also, it emitted pesos to buy dollar reserves, then sterilized them, maybe risking credibility further.
Near the end of 2017 it was evident the government had limited appetite for budget cuts, it had kind of abandoned its inflation target regime and the classic problem of fiscal dominance emerged, as it's shown in the classic "Unpleasant monetarist arithmetic" paper by Wallace and Sargent. Monetary policy gets less effective when the real value of bonds falls, and raising interest rates may be counterproductive in that environment. Rational expectations are needed to complement QTOM.
So, given that Argentina promised to go nowhere with reform, it was expected that money financing would increase at some point in the future and BCRA bonds were dumped in 2018 and 2019 as their value was perceived to have decreased, and so peso demand decreased. It's not that the dollar value increased and inflation followed, but instead that peso demand fell suddenly!
The IMF deal asked for MB growth to be null or almost null but that doesn't say a lot about M2 (which it's the relevant variable here). Without credible policies, the peso demand keeps falling because bonds are dumped even more (see 2019 for a hilariously brutal example of that).
It's not emission per se, but rather that it doesn't adjust properly to peso demand (which is falling). That doesn't mean increasing interest rates is enough to achieve it, following Wallace and Sargent model.
This is less a strict proof that a monetary phenomenon is involved and more stating that the author hasn't shown any problem with that, there are reasonable models for this situation. It doesn't look like an clear empirical failure to me yet.
3 - Of what we are talking about when we talk about emission?
The author mentions many money measures (M0, M1, M2) but it doesn't address it meaningfully as I tried to do above. It feels more like a rhetorical device because there is no point here except "this stuff exists".
Also, it's worth pointing that there are actual criticisms to make to Friedman on those grounds. He failed to forecast US inflation at some points when he switched to M1 instead of using M2, although he later reverted that. Monetarism kind of "failed" there (it also "failed" in the sense that modern central banks don't use money, but instead interest rates as their main tool; "failed" because despite being outdated, it was influential to modern central banking). This is often brought to this kind of discussions like if economics hasn't moved beyond that. For an account of Friedman thoughts on monetary policies and his failures, see this.
4 - Why do many countries print and inflation doesn't increase there?
There is a mention about the japanese situation in the 90s (the liquidity trap) which I have addressed.
The author mentions that many countries "printed" like crazy during the pandemic, and he says:
Monetarism apologists answer, when confronted with those grave empirical problems that happen in "serious countries", that the population "trusts" their monetary authorities, even increasing the money demand in those place despite the emission. Curious, though, it's an appeal to "trust" implying that the relationship between emission and inflation is not objective, but subjective and cultural: an appreciation that abandons mechanicism and the basic certainty of monetarism, because evaluations and diagnostics, many times ideologic, contextual or historical intervene..
That's just a restatement of applying rational expectations to central bank operations. I don't see a problem with that. Rational expectations is not magic, it's an assessment of future earnings by economic actors. Humans may not 100% rational but central banking somehow works on many countries. You cannot just say that people are ideologues and let it at that. What's your model?
Worth noting the author shills for bitcoin a bit in this section, for more cringe.
5 - Are we talking of a physical science or a social science?
Again, a vague mention of rational expectations ("populists and pro market politicians could do the same policies with different results because of how agents respond ideologically and expectatives") without handling the subject meaningfully. It criticizes universal macroeconomic rules that apply everywhere (this is often used to dismiss evidence from other countries uncritically more than as a meaningful point).
6 - How limits work?
The last question to monetarism allows to recognize it something: effectively we can think on a type of vinculation between emission and inflation in extreme conditions. That means, with no monetary rule, no government has the need of taxes but instead can emit and spend all it needs without consequence. We know it's not like that: no government can print infinitely without undesirable effects.
Ok, good disclaimer, but given what he wrote before, what's the mechanism which causes money printing to be inflationary at some point? It was rejected before but now it seems that it exists. What was even the point of the article?
Now, the problem is thinking monetarism on its extremes: without emission we have inflation sometimes, on others we have no inflation with emission, we know that if we have negative emission that doesn't guarantees us negative inflation, but that if emission is radically uncontrolled there will economic effects.
As I wrote above, that's not what monetarism (even on it's simpler form) says, nor a consequence of it. You can see some deviations in low inflation environment but it's not really Argentina's current situation.
Let's add other problems: the elastic question between money and prices is not evident. Neither is time lags in which can work or be neutral. So the question is the limit cases for monetarism which has some reason but some difficulty in explaining them: by which and it what moments rules work and in which it doesn't.
I find the time lag thing to be a red herring. You can observe empirically and not having a proper short/middle run model doesn't invalidate QTOM in the long run. While it may be that increasing interest rates or freezing MB is not effective, that's less a problem of the theory and more a problem of policy implementation.
Conclusion:
I find that the article doesn't truly get monetarism to begin with (see the points it makes about emission and money demand), neither how it's implemented in practice, nor seems to be aware of more modern theories that, while put money on the background, don't necessarily invalidate it (rational expectation ideas, and eventually New Keynesian stuff which addresses stuff like liquidity traps properly).
There are proper criticisms to be made to Friedman old ideas but he still was a relevant man in his time and the economic community has moved on to new, better theories that have some debt to it. I feel most economic discussion about monetarism in Argentina is a strawman of mainstream economics or an attack on Austrians more than genuine points ("monetarism" is used as a shorthand for those who think inflation is a monetary phenomenon more than referring to Friedman and his disciples per se).
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Why 2020 should be the year of bitcoin

Why 2020 should be the year of bitcoin
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https://preview.redd.it/zicngbhkliz41.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=8e122a0d3cdda2004d6ced108ca342cc10c1c143
submitted by PZMCash to PZMCash [link] [comments]

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Roberts Freed Slaves and Roman Imperial Culture: Social Integration and the Transformation of Values - eBook Freed Slaves and Roman Imperial Culture: Social Integration and the Transformation of Values – eBook Rose MacLean Strategies for Teaching Students with Learning and Behavior Problems (9th Edition) - eBook Strategies for Teaching Students with Learning and Behavior Problems (9th Edition) – eBook Sharon R. Vaughn Learning and Memory: From Brain to Behavior (2nd Edition) - eBook Learning and Memory: From Brain to Behavior (2nd Edition) – eBook Catherine E. Myers The Principles of Learning and Behavior (7th Edition) - eBook The Principles of Learning and Behavior (7th Edition) – eBook Michael P. Domjan Feedback Control Theory for Dynamic Traffic Assignment: Advances in Industrial Control (2nd Edition) - eBook Feedback Control Theory for Dynamic Traffic Assignment: Advances in Industrial Control (2nd Edition) Kaan M. A. Ozbay Chemical, Biochemical, and Engineering Thermodynamics (5th Edition) - eBook Chemical, Biochemical, and Engineering Thermodynamics (5th Edition) – eBook Stanley I. Sandler Fundamentals of Engineering Thermodynamics (9th Edition) - eBook Fundamentals of Engineering Thermodynamics (9th Edition) – eBook Daisie D. Boettner Introduction to Chemical Engineering Thermodynamics (8th Edition) - eBook Introduction to Chemical Engineering Thermodynamics (8th Edition) – eBook J. M. Smith Microeconomics: Canada in the Global Environment (9th Edition) - eBook Microeconomics: Canada in the Global Environment (9th Edition) – eBook Robin Bade Emerging Genres in New Media Environments - eBook Emerging Genres in New Media Environments – eBook Carolyn R. Miller Fluid Mechanics (8th Edition) - eBook Fluid Mechanics (8th Edition) – Frank White – eBook Frank M. White Principles of Turbomachinery (2nd Edition) - eBook Principles of Turbomachinery (2nd Edition) – eBook Seppo A. Korpela
submitted by cooklanbrahh to ebookleaksdownload [link] [comments]

I was told to post my Bachelor's thesis about Bitcoin's volatility here!

Hi guys,
after over two months of working on this, I have finally finished the first draft and I would love to get some feedback if anyone has time! Especially if everything is factually correct. Keep in mind that this is a thesis in economics so I oversimplify the technical details on purpose.
Essentially, my research question is whether Bitcoin can become an alternative to fiat currencies. I use a GARCH model to analyze Bitcoin's volatility in respect to the macroeconomic variables of countries where Bitcoin is being traded the most.
Link is here if anyone is interested: https://www.dropbox.com/s/xyx54ajh2uc2v5Bitcoin%20-%20rough%20draft%208.pdf?dl=0
EDIT: Final version can be found here: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2961405
submitted by lawmaster10 to btc [link] [comments]

Just finished my Bachelor's thesis about Bitcoin and its volatility!

Hi guys,
after two months of working on this, I have finally finished the first draft and I would love to get some feedback if anyone has time! Especially if everything is factually correct. Keep in mind that this is a thesis in economics so I oversimplify the technical details on purpose.
Essentially, my research question is whether Bitcoin can become an alternative to fiat currencies. I use a GARCH model to analyze Bitcoin's volatility in respect to the macroeconomic variables of countries where Bitcoin is being traded the most.
Link is here if anyone is interested: https://www.dropbox.com/s/u9dwzseaqjzpcnh/Bitcoin%20-%20rough%20draft%207.pdf?dl=0
EDIT: Final version can be found here: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2961405
submitted by lawmaster10 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Multi-Billion Dollar Crypto Firm: Bitcoin Finding Use as Hedge for Global Crisis

Multi-Billion Dollar Crypto Firm: Bitcoin Finding Use as Hedge for Global Crisis
https://preview.redd.it/yy7tkj643v431.png?width=1024&format=png&auto=webp&s=99a4b76c25893e2091241bcdcd42060f83ec48a4
Throughout its short history, Bitcoin (BTC) has been seen as anything but centralized, sovereign, and censorable. The crypto asset was created by a pseudonymous individual, is secured by a global group of miners, and is backed by no government, traditional finance system, or common entity.
And as a result, many have looked to Bitcoin and its brethren — other digital assets — as a much-needed escape hatch from fiat and government overreach. Indeed, BTC was released in the wake (and seemingly as a result) of the 2008 Great Depression, and many that have since flocked to the cryptocurrency are staunch anti-establishment proponents.
Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) Soars Past $9,300 in Massive Weekend Pump: Bulls on Parade
Some, however, have denied this key narrative. Cynics of the theory remark that BTC is too nascent to be used as a proper store of value, citing the periods of volatility, especially the downturns, as a perfect case in point. Regardless, a massive cryptocurrency firm recently laid out why these naysayers may be wrong in their postulation.

Bitcoin as a Macroeconomic Hedge

Grayscale’s industry-famous research department recently released a report titled “Hedging Global Liquidity Risk with Bitcoin”. In it, the firm explained how the leading cryptocurrency is becoming used as a hedge in financial crises and periods of geopolitical turmoil.

ore specifically, the crypto investment firm looked into how the asset can be used during bouts in which there is high “liquidity risk”, the “risk of a real decline in wealth resulting from an imbalance in the amount of money and credit relative to debt in a given economy.”
To back this point, Grayscale looks to three primary facets of Bitcoin’s existence: store of value, spending viability, and growth possibility.
Firstly, as the company has characteristics, BTC can act (and has acted) better as a store of value than gold. Unlike the metal, the crypto is mathematically scarce, capped at 21 million units; BTC is decentralized and verifiable through the Internet; BTC is portable and divisible through digital technologies, and is unconfiscatable.
Gold, on the other hand, has an unlimited supply, centralization risks, an inability to be easily divided and moved around, and concerns around its purity. The chart below from Grayscale sums this argument up fairly well.
https://preview.redd.it/s950j61b3v431.jpg?width=812&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ab54175c3cbe866a37820b117f7e7dc8b90750e1
Secondly, Grayscale purports that due to having similar properties to physical cash, Bitcoin will retain a solid value proposition amid a liquidity crisis. They look to recent adoption by Whole Foods, AT&T, Overstock.com, Microsoft, Expedia, PayPal, and Dell to corroborate their claim.
Thirdly, they remark that the potential that blockchain technologies have to grow and create value will only stimulate demand further, which should mitigate most, if not all negative effects of any downturn in global markets.
So, are these characteristics helping Bitcoin hold true in the current geopolitical stage? Well, yes, and it already has been for a while.
Grayscale looks to the fact that during Grexit (Greece’s debt-fueled financial crisis in 2015), China’s market collapse in 2015 and 2016, Brexit, a short period of growth worries for the U.S., and the recent trade war debacle, Bitcoin has done rather well for itself.
In fact, some have argued that the recent political tussle between China and the U.S. is what has contributed greatly to the recent rally in the Bitcoin price, with some arguing that Chinese traders and others in Asia have fled to Bitcoin from traditional stocks to deter most downside risk. They write:
“While it is still very early in Bitcoin’s life cycle as an investable asset, we have identified evidence supporting the notion that it can serve as a hedge in a global liquidity crisis, particularly those that result in subsequent currency devaluations.”
Indeed, this strength is why many love Bitcoin. In fact, Delphi Digital, a New York-based crypto research group, recently pointed out that BTC is absolutely lapping every other asset class, even the more risky, high-return blue chips and the venture-backed Silicon Valley darlings that have begun to trade on public markets.
At the time of their analysis (end of May), Bitcoin was up over 120% year to date, while crude oil and the Nasdaq 100 index were up a mere 18% and 13%, respectively. It’s an even scarier sight for tried and true assets, like gold, foreign currencies, and government bonds, which are up less than 5% so far. This led the firm to the conclusion that BTC could be the “King of the Asset Class Hill”.
submitted by Rajladumor1 to omgfin [link] [comments]

Rules, Disclaimer and FAQ. PLEASE READ THIS FIRST

This post outlines the rules of /Cindicator and provides answers to the most common questions. We'd like to ask the community to participate in FAQs suggestions (you can add your comments below). Also check sidebar for links to our Medium, Facebook, Twitter, Telegram etc.
DISCLAIMER
We can’t sell our tokens to U.S. and China citizens and residents: U.S. citizens or permanent residents of the US, or those who have a primary residence or domicile in the United States, including Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands and any other possessions of the United States can not be holders of our tokens (CND). We also can’t sell our tokens to citizens and permanent residents of China.
Rules for the app
We at Cindicator also won’t tolerate scams or cheating. If you try to cheat using our application (for example - register multiple accounts and send the same forecasts) - we will have to ban you.
Rules for this subreddit
  1. No inappropriate behaviour. This includes, but is not limited to: personal attacks, threats of violence, slurs of any kind, posting people's private information.
  2. We also kindly ask to discuss only those issues that are directly related to Cindicator and its concepts. Furthermore, we do not welcome FUD messages here. For violation of those rules you can be banned.
  3. No misleading titles - please try to choose titles that reflect the content of the post.
  4. No duplicated questions that are addressed in FAQ. If the current answer to the FAQ lacks details, use the comment function to ask more specific.
  5. Price discussion, market talk, other cryptos, memes etc in weekly sticky only!
Be aware of scams – consider trustworthy ONLY announcements from our team members:
In case of any questions, please contact us at [email protected].
FAQ
What is Cindicator?
Cindicator is a fintech company that creates the social and technological infrastructure needed to make effective decisions under volatile conditions of the new economy. By combining a large number of diverse financial analysts and a set of machine-learning models into a single system, we are developing a Hybrid Intelligence infrastructure for the efficient management of investors' capital in traditional financial and crypto-markets.
How does it work?
  1. Cindicator creates questions on Crowd Intelligence platform - app.cindicator.com
  2. Analysts make their prediction on the daily basis, answering a number of specific questions about price levels of different financial assets, macroeconomic indexes, events significantly influencing the market, future ICOs.
  3. Right after the question closes (deadline), the artificial intelligence system synthesises accurate forecasts using machine learning algorithms based on the accumulated statistics predicted by forecasters. Machine learning models dynamically calculate various weights for each analyst, identify stable systematics in their errors and calculate corrections for the errors, eliminate noise, and generate final predictions and trading indicators.
What does Cindicator stand for?
Crowd Indicator: we refer to the famous “Wisdom of the crowds” concept. In a nutshell: it means that group of people is more likely to provide right answer than an individual. Hence, crowd indicator - an indicator of collective intelligence.
Are there any Cindicator products already completed?
Yes, there are several products that already completed and ready to use. They include: Collective Intelligence platform - applications for Android, iOS, web platform, CindicatorBot - Analytical Indicators, Cryptometer (arbitrage) bot, Token Sale Review bot, other different products are in development.
What is Crowd Intelligence platform?
Crowd Intelligence platform is a platform that we launched in December 2015 and where over 115,000 of analysts generate various forecasts daily, answering a number of specific questions, for example:
Shares of Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) fell 5.87% and closed at 30.81 USD on Thursday, September 6 a day after testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee. Will Twitter stock manage to recover and trade above 32.7 USD by September 27?
The cryptocurrency Bitcoin settled at $6753.3 at 10:30 AM UTC at Bitfinex exchange on Sunday, September 23. What will be the maximum and the minimum price of BTC/USD from 12:01 AM UTC on Monday, September 24 until 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, September 30?
Apple Inc. (AAPL) is scheduled to reveal its Q4 earnings on Thursday, November 1 after the market close. In your opinion, will Apple Inc. report earnings per share (EPS) above current Wall Street consensus of $2.77?
Bitcoin crypto market share settled at 54.46% at 07:30 AM UTC on Monday, October 15. In your opinion, will Bitcoin's market share climb above 57.2% (+5%) at any time before November 14?
And much more - visit the app to check all questions!
What is Cindicator Bot?
If we were asked to describe the product in one sentence, we would say: Cindicator combines the data from our analysts’ forecasts, processes it through several layers of ML algorithms, and delivers notifications with indicators via Telegram bot.
For now we’re offering Cindicator’s users 9 types of indicators, most of them tackling both crypto- and traditional financial markets analysis. You can find levels of access and description of indicators on website and in this post. We’ve been carrying out back and forward testing of the indicators for quite some time already - you can find this information here https://goo.gl/aYf6ph.
What is Cryptometer bot?
The Cryptometer Bot 2.0 measures prices across multiple exchanges to anticipate and detect early signs of cryptocurrency market volatility and provides you with real-time price movements on your selected crypto assets. It is helping traders find the right arbitrage opportunity and profit in everyday trading in a simple way.
You can find more information about this bot on website and this post.
What is Token Sale Review bot?
Token Sale Review is an exclusive analytical product that helps you identify the token sales that are the most sustainable and the most promising in the long run. A stop list tracks scams and projects with excessive risks. Access to this product is strictly limited and by application only.
You can find more information about this bot on website and this post.
Bots guide: https://cindicator.com/Cindicator-bot-reg-manual.pdf
Video guides: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLhGvusYMn3Hcq0WjlhJOTsxqIJcX3qG1e
Levels of access
Cindicator Bot
Beginner - 5k CND
Explorer - 30k CND
Trader - 200k CND
Expert - 700k CND
Cryptometer bot - 1 million CND
Token Sale Review bot
Beginner - 8k CND/month
Intermediate - 14k CND/month
Advanced - 20k CND/month
What is the problem Cindicator is solving?
The main problem in current financial analytics is centralisation. This is because analysts cluster their forecasts and opinions in open access and these opinions impact upon the opinions of other analysts.
Decentralization is one of the many necessary characteristics we are working on in the context of the wisdom of the crowd. Figuratively speaking, the suggestion of each unique person contains two types of information: useful signal and unique chaotic noise. Cindicator cuts through this centralization bias by aggregating opinion from a wide range of diverse forecasters from different countries with different professional backgrounds, with different personal experience. After we combine lots of such different suggestions, we have useful signal amplification, and noises mutually cancel each other as they are quite unique and random. When people don’t discuss the problem before making a suggestion they are unlikely to include alien biases into suggestions and keep the uniqueness of their subjectivity – their personal noise, so the sum of noises will go to zero and the signal becomes accurate.
Why does Cindicator need the issuance of our own infrastructure tokens?
The issuance of our own infrastructure tokens is conditioned by the need to create an internal economy in the ecosystem that will establish transparent and fair relations among all participants making up the system: forecasters/analysts, traders, financial investors, data scientists, and the Cindicator team.
What the name of the token? Can I mine Cindicator tokens?
The token is also called Cindicator (CND). Unlike proof-of-work blockchains such as Bitcoin, there is no mining in Cindicator.
What are Cindicator tokens? Cindicator tokens are ERC-20 compatible tokens distributed on the Ethereum blockchain pursuant to a related ERC-20 smart contract (the “CND Tokens”).
Why people from PRC and USA are not allowed to buy Cindicator tokens?
Due to legal reasons we can’t sell our tokens to U.S. and China citizens and residents: U.S. citizens or permanent residents of the US, or those who have a primary residence or domicile in the United States, including Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands and any other possessions of the United States can not be holders of our tokens (CND). We also can’t sell our tokens to citizens and permanent residents of China.
If your indicators are so valuable, why wouldn’t you use them only for yourself for trading?
The answer is that simple: we are a technological company and specialise in the Hybrid Intelligence technologies. We create infrastructure and products based on it, and those products, infrastructure and data they yield can be used by hedge-funds or other companies with financial expertise. This way it’s a mutually beneficial business. We don't want to try entering completely different field of the big finance. In other words, the same question can be addressed to the Bloomberg, for example. To be exactly accurate - we do use our indicators for our own good - but this is a very small part of Cindicator business model.
Which products can I access as a Token holder?
By buying tokens, CND token holders will get exclusive access to part of the Hybrid Intelligence infrastructure being developed. Holders of CND infrastructure tokens will receive a different level of access to Cindicator’s indicators, ratings, and internal analytical products. Token holders will be able to access the following parts of the infrastructure: indicators of traditional markets and crypto-markets (the probability of the rise or fall of asset prices, the probability of beating consensus in corporate and macroeconomic events, indicators certain price levels being reached, indicators of the probability of significant events influencing the market); auxiliary service products for trading (Telegram bots, notifiers, and portfolio monitoring products); analytical products (ICO ratings, market condition analysis, ICO due diligence, and investor portfolio analysis); market indices and sentiments generated by Hybrid Intelligence (in development).
Will your indicators still provide value if many people can gain access to them?
The fact that token holders can use data from the analytical infrastructure products will not affect the value of the data received from Hybrid Intelligence, since each indicator or index is not an unambiguous trading signal, but only an additional metric in the market that helps analyse an investment decision. These data and analytical products will assist token holders and make the ecosystem transparent. A part of the infrastructure intended to be directly used in capital management (by traders' teams, machine-learning models, and trading strategies) will remain in the centralized part of the system. This is necessary in order to make sure that Hybrid Intelligence can be used most efficiently on the next stage, when interested funds will be provided with access to the entire infrastructure (for more detailed information, please, see White Paper Section 4.6).
Cindicator - just another Prediction Market?
Cindicator is not a prediction market. We are different in infrastructure, goals and business model: We enhance collective intelligence of our forecasters with Artificial Intelligence. Prediction markets usually just gather opinions. We aim at creating Hybrid intelligence - an effective combination of human mind and machine intelligence. Prediction markets aim at making correct predictions. We create products for financial markets: not only forecasts and signals, but also strategies, indices, sentiments, trading bots and tools, SaaS products. Thus our clients and source of income are financial markets’ players. Prediction markets focus on predictions - and for many of them analytics are important part of cash inflow. We on the other hand have never made or plan to make our forecasters risk their own money. You can read this article to know more about comparison of collective intelligence platforms.
Is Cindicator just another trading signal provider?
No, Cindicator is a technological ecosystem that also creates a number of products for traders and hedge funds. Cindicator’s ultimate goal is to set up a decentralized intellectual technology that effectively implements the potential of Hybrid Intelligence for the benefit of all participants of the ecosystem. In the future the technology strives to be fully automated: the only resource necessary for it to function will be the mental investment by the analysts.
Is the crowd able to give reliable predictions?
Usually we don’t expect crowd to be wise. However, crowd doesn’t necessarily mean chaotic and impulsive mass. In case of Cindicator, “the crowd” consists of independent financial analysts from all corners of the Earth. We could call it a consensus - yet the word we use refers to a well-known concept called “Wisdom of the crowds”. A famous example: in 1906, British scientist Francis Galton came to a rural fair where visitors were invited to guess the weight of a bull put on public display and to write this figure on a special ticket just for entertainment. Organizers of that show promised prizes for those who managed to guess a true figure. Thus, about 800 people - some of them professional farmers, others far from pastoral matters - took part in the voting. After collecting all the tickets for analysis after the fair, Galton calculated the average arithmetic value from the entire sample: 1197 pounds. The actual weight of the bull was 1198 pounds. Astonishing result, isn’t it? In order to make “Wisdom of the crowds” work, a few things must be secured: Analytics must look at the situation independently and provide answer privately - because otherwise they risk to become influenced by some opinion and produce biased results Group of people must be large. The more people - the more accurate their consensus is. Questions must be formulated in quantitative way.
Watch a 5-mins video where BBC's professor Marcus du Sautoy explains how a group of people know more than one individual: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iOucwX7Z1HU
Have you acquired investments already?
Cindicator has already acquired around $570,000 of investments from angels and venture funds. We also got $140,000 worth grants for technologies from Microsoft, Facebook and Amazon. During Cindicator Token Sale $15,000,000 hardcap has been reached.
How experienced your team is?
The Cindicator team has been created by a synergy of like-minded people with a variety of expertise in maths, data science and finances working together with one collective mind. About 85% of the team members are graduates of top STEM universities. We understand the value of building the right Team, Community, and Ecosystem. We are actively expanding the scientific community around our infrastructure, business and ecosystem giving access to our work and technologies so we can act together to solve important and relevant problems.
Cindicator have a strong advisory board:
Charlie Shrem - Chief Operating Officer at Jaxx.io, Founder of Bitcoin Foundation
Anthony Diiorio - CEO and Founder at Decentral and Jaxx, Founder at Ethereum
Markus Killick - CEO ISOLAS LLP law firm, Chairman Gibraltar Stock Exchange
Evan Cheng - Director of Engineering at Facebook
Reese Jones - Associate Founder at Singularity University
Etienne Brunet - Investment Executive at Illuminate Financial
Simone Giacomelli - Founder at Vulpem
Stepan Gershuni - General partner at bits.capital
Anton Govor - Managing Director, Head of Strategy at Moscow Exchange
Andrei Rusakov - Partner, co-founder at Data Capital Management
Julian Zegelman - Corporate Attorney, Partner at Velton, Zegelman PC
Roman Storm - Blockchain and Solidity developer at blockchainlabs.nz
Konstantin Gladych - CEO and Co-founder at Changelly.com instant cryptocurrency exchange
Vivian Cheng - Associate at Cota Capital
Boris Ryabov - Managing partner at Bright Capital
submitted by Sidzu to Cindicator [link] [comments]

The intelligent investors guide to cryptocurrency: Part 5 - *Growth, Tribalism, Utility and Cryptocurrency:*

Introductions: I'm joskye. A cryptocurrency investor and particl holder.
...
 
Growth, Tribalism, Utility and Cryptocurrency:
......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
 
Growth:
 
You know the biggest benefit of decentralization is the introduction of automated, verifiable trustlessness into processes where a trusted 3rd party was previously required.
 
The whole point is that in removing the administrative need for a third party, you save time (via automated verification) and expense (to compensate the third party for their time).
Perhaps a bigger idea, an expansion of this is that governance can be decentralized and the layers that exist between decision makers from decisions being made is narrowed.
Yet it is funny that we are so tribalistic when it comes to the promotion of our and strategies and platforms that can achieve these aims.
 
One great irony of the cryptocurrency universe is that because the value of our speculative investments (our cryptocurrency tokens) is in so many ways dependent on adoption, we often think and conclude that this must come at the expense of success or growth in other projects including seemingly direct competitors in our space.
 
We often intrinsically feel or act or behave in a manner to suggest that cryptocurrency is a closed loop system; a narrow universe, a small box where there is no growth only shuffling of money from one asset to another.
And yet a quick glance at the marketcap for all cryptocurrencies combined shows that this is not the case. That cryptocurrency market cap has grown considerably; I'd argue at an exponential rate.
 
For example, the price of Bitcoin and it's associated market cap has grown massively through 2016 and 2017 even though it's total share of crypto-market cap has fallen considerably.
 
The market cap of Bitcoin in January 2016 was $6.5 billion. As of July 2017 the market cap is $45 billion!
 
Meanwhile in this time the total market cap of all cryptocurrency has grown from $7 billion to $90 billion
And to make this important the share of market cap of Bitcoin has fallen from 90% to 47%!
...
 
So what's the point of this?
 
 
Given that accessibility to cryptocurrencies is constantly improving and is the major bottleneck to new waves of investors and traders coming on board I would argue that we have a lot of growth still to come.
......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
 
Tribalism:
 
And yet when I browse the dailies on ethtrader, bitcoinmarkets, btc, why do I see so many posters slagging off other crypto projects, even one's that may contribute or benefit the ecosystem of technologies they have holdings in?
 
Granted a lot of the times I see genuine criticism of projects or technologies that are highlighted, often genuine scams are brought to my attention and legitimate causes for concern in some tokens are raised with eloquently delivered and balanced arguments to defend the posters point of view.
 
Often though I simply see down vote brigades or nasty comments for posters who mention their tokens (likewise I often see people post their predictions of which tokens will pump without explaining why).
 
The worst instance though is when I see the board and development teams of other projects actively spread misinformation and promote and actively perpetuate a climate of mistrust or harbor an openly derogatory attitude towards other projects.
 
...
 
For example very recently I received an unsolicited direct message into my reddit account from a user I've had no previous communications with asking me to donate my Ether to a particular ICO whose project I won't name. Suffice to say I found it very insulting that this message and the articles it had linked to were saying derogatory and deliberately mis-informative things about projects that represent potential competitors in their field of product services.
 
Similarly I've read accusations that the teams actively devote resources to paying people to troll and discredit promoters of potential rival projects (that's just sad people) and top level representatives of large established cryptocurrencies openly speak lies or attempt to spread fear, uncertainty and doubt about projects they may see as rivals.
 
Unfortunately all these actions are in bad faith and speak to the poor integrity of these individuals and depending on their level of involvement may reflect poorly on their preferred project as well.
 
When I consider the amount of growth that has occurred in and been the dominant theme of cryptocurrency these last 4 years, I realize that this level of tribalism speaks to the small mindedness of others, to the intellectual laziness of others and to the total ignorance of the macro-economic factors and historic contexts that have taught us that with any paradigm shifting idea (in this case distributed ledger technology and it's role in furthering the decentralization of services) that there will be many winners and that it is the projects that bring utility and adoption to these ideas that will be the biggest winners.
 
Adopting a holistic, synergistic, utilitarian approach to cryptocurrencies in the end is what will lead to mass adoption, mass growth and genuine non-speculative use of distributed ledger technology which will benefit the majority of early adopters maximally.
 
...
 
Taking a maximalist approach or the idea that there can be only one distributed ledger technology or blockchain to rule them all is a fallacy. Believing that a given niche of applications (currency, smart contracts, marketplaces, DSN's etc) can only be occupied appropriately and adequately by only one product is the fallacy of maximalism. As we have seen historically for any given field of governance or technology, where money is to be made there is always at least 2 or 3 distinct competitors each occupying their own sub-niche and serving their own dedicated audience.
 
Tribalism is fine if it doesn't stop you thinking about the bigger picture or assessing it broadly. Tribalism can give you a sense of worth, a sense of belonging, community, accomplishment and standing the more respected and representative you are of the tribe you associate to. It should not however get in the way of an objective assessment or commentary of other tribes and the technologies, cultures and ideas they represent.
 
In the worst instance tribalism represents the self interested and preservative behavior of an individual to protect their own assets and tribe to the detriment of the ecosystem as a whole. I see that all too often in cryptocurrency and even though it is an understandable part of human nature, in investments I see it as a red flag when such attitudes and behaviors are directed by top level executives or marketing managers for specific products, industries or technologies.
 
...
 
To me such behavior reeks of insecurity when the criticisms relayed are done emotionally not rationally, when the critique lacks substance and is delivered in a manner designed to intentionally divide and denigrate. For such a young ecosystem as cryptocurrency, such behavior is short sighted. It demonstrates a complete lack of macroeconomic insight from these sorts of preachers.
In reality cryptocurrencies can grow synergistically (i.e. together in a manner that is helpful towards each other) and they can grow both independently and interdependently of each other.
 
A look back at growth in detail confirms this. Now lets look at how encouraging utility can be both harmonious with tribalism and diversity whilst encouraging growth.
......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
 
Utility:
 
We want the technologies we are invested in to be successful because we know if they are, their value will grow as will the value of our proportionate stake in this. To this end I encourage you to talk about your holdings. There is nothing wrong with being tribalistic about your own holdings as long as you are respectful, inquisitive, objective and appropriately critical of alternatives. I discuss various things to look for in my ongoing intelligent investors guide to cryptocurrency series but among them I value non-speculative utility highly.
 
I believe if your holdings bring non-speculative utility to this field and ideally encourages non-speculative fiat spending (i.e. people spending their dollars, pounds etc for services provided by blockchain technologies) then they will have the road map to long term success potentially laid out for them.
Furthermore sometimes having several iterations of a technology type is actually beneficial to the technology itself and the ecosystem as a whole.
 
...
 
For example open fund asset management platforms such Melonport, Iconomi and TaaS should not be thought of as competing with each other. They should be thought of as three different projects with three different resource pools, three separate marketing budgets with three separate ways of promoting their product to the same global audience. If anything even though they provide the same end-point of service (index funds and managed portfolios for cryptocurrencies and tokenized assets) they are effectively acting as fail safes for each other; should one not succeed the competitors will have an opportunity to study why and adapt accordingly and hopefully for future success.
 
Conversely the success of one fund management platform will bring more fiat into the cryptocurrency ecosystem which will should then cause an average rise of the price of individual cryptocurrency tokens which means the value of other fund management platforms should also rise in value. Thus several iterations of the service can be beneficial to the ecosystem both in failure and success.
 
...
 
Another example is decentralized marketplaces. There are 3 major projects can come to mind; Particl (PART), Syscoin (Sys) and OpenBazaar. They all aim to bring utility to cryptocurrency by providing a means through which real world physical goods and services can be purchased and distributed solely through the use of cryptocurrency tokens. OpenBazaar currently accepts Bitcoin, Syscoin conducts it's transactions via it's native SYS token but also accepts Bitcoin (BTC) and Zcash (ZEC), whilst Particl will use integrated shapeshift to automatically convert all shapeshift compatible tokens (currently 67 as of writing) into the native PART token for transacting on the network.
 
 
I also believe the inbuilt anonymity features of the PART token (CT, Ring CT enabling optional anonymisation of public transactions) and it's marketplace (availability of private listings which can only be accessed through knowledge of the private key, a trustless 3rd party free escrow system referred to as "MAD escrow") will provide additional incentives to transact specifically through the Particl network. I also believe that since PARTICL is verified through proof of stake with a percentage of transaction fee's going towards those verifying the Particl via staking will provide community driven incentives to promote the network which do not exist in OpenBazaar or exist as strongly in Syscoin (whose token appreciation correlation to increasing use effect I feel is diluted through the option to avoid transacting via the SYS token altogether).
 
That said OpenBazaar is already established and has a working decentralized marketplace where you can actively trade. Similarly Syscoin has already released it's public beta in 2016 and includes anonymity via zcash payments. In contrast Particl has yet to release their proposed platform in Beta and this is where the main point of criticism lays; that it won't be done. Acknowledging that Syscoin has a polished presentation, a history of development and is forming corporate partnerships (e.g. Microsoft Azure for deployment of the Syscoin API) and representation are strengths that bring legitimacy to the cryptocurrency ecosystem which will ease the minds of potential consumers both corporate and private.
 
I believe that marketplaces that accept multiple cryptocurrencies will bring utility and important, non-speculative intrinsic value to the cryptocurrencies they utilize. This non-speculative instrinsic value is essential and vital to the long term growth and acceptance of those supported cryptocurrencies.
 
Decentralized marketplaces (particularly those with anonymity) can further democratize trade and make the exchange of goods more accessible to people regardless of regional restrictions due to local governance. This is an additional benefit of such projects in the (still largely unexplored) cryptocurrency ecosystem which will help drive growth of the entire cryptocurrency market cap as a whole.
 
Systems like those in Particl and Syscoin can provide significant value to BTC, ZEC and a host of other cryptocurrencies indirectly and as such if you have any interest in seeing cryptocurrency as a whole succeed in replacing or sitting aside traditional fiat mechanisms you should be supportive of them.
 
Each decentralised marketplace will cater to different demographics of the global community, have different promotional strategies, different partnerships and ultimately different areas of reach and adoption. Their very existence and development is good for the cryptocurrency ecosystem and helps us to remain tribalistic (which is really a way of preserving mental focus) and supportive of the cryptocurrencies and token technologies we are interested in whilst giving them grounds to indirectly grow.
 
...
 
The third example I want to look at today is smart switch/contract platforms: The rapid success of Ethereum (ETH) has inspired the development of multiple other distributed ledgers aiming improve or solve problems identified in current solutions (namely speed, scalability and governance). Some of these technologies provide a unique approach to smart switch/contract execution or network verification e.g. IOTA, LISK, ANS and EoS whilst some aim to fix existing problems from the ground up e.g. NEM and TEZOS. Although the cynic in me is inclined to say that some of these projects represent cash grabs rather than genuinely intentioned attempts to improve on an existing product or idea, they ultimately bring greater attention to this space.
 
I suspect that although there will be one large player the the smart contract field and that although presently it appears to be Ethereum, this does not mean that several other systems will not find their audience, niche or adoption. To this end their is room for organic growth and adoption in these technologies; even though rabid fans and corporate/technical representatives of their platform will be inclined to say their platform is the best or the only one that matters, on a global outlook that will simply not be true; solutions will continue to evolve and the demographic, adoption and consumption patterns will continue to change leading to periodic shifts in dominance.
 
Perhaps more importantly each product will have different teams composed of different individuals; each individual will have their own composite psyche and thus their own unique approach to the same underlying common problems concerning product growth, development, promotion and adoption. These individuals will also have their own limitations and depending on the overall team skill set and the interpersonal factors that favor success will hopefully override the limitations on an individual level that can err towards failure. What is important though is that each team attracts people and provided the organization is there to utilize their skills and experience properly, then the product they work on will gain traction, advocacy and adoption with resultant growth and success. Ultimately it is these interpersonal factors and ability to understand and attract an audience that determine the success of a project in the long term.
......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
 
Conclusions:
Different products providing the same type of service can reach different demographics in different parts of the world and even if only one succeeds, it still means that access to the entire cryptocurrency market has been improved which means more money flowing in which means the price of assets you hold is likely to go up. Why? Because the increased number of new entrants means someone is more likely to buy something you hold.
 
And remember if one fails, the others can still succeed. Selective, intelligent diversification within a product type is a useful strategy to hedge for maximal gains whilst minimizing risks.
......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
 
References:
1. Market capitalizations of all cryptocurrencies: https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/ 2. Market capitalization of gold: http://onlygold.com/Info/All-The-Gold-In-The-World.asp 3. Open Bazaar (website): https://www.openbazaar.org/ 4. Syscoin (website): http://syscoin.org/ 5. Syscoin whitepaper: http://whitepaper.syscoin.org/ 6. Particl (website): https://particl.io/ 7. Particl whitepaper: https://github.com/particl/whitepapeblob/mastedecentralized-private-marketplace-draft-0.1.pdf 
......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
 
Further articles in this series:
 
"The intelligent investors guide to cryptocurrency"
 
Part 0 -
Part 1 -
Part 2 -
Part 3a -
Part 3b -
Part 4 -
Part 5 -
Part 6 -
Part 7a -
 
"The intelligent investors guide to Particl -"
 
......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
 
Full disclosure/Disclaimer: At time of original writing I had long positions in Ethereum (ETH), Particl (PART), ICONOMI (ICN), Augur (REP), Factom (FCT), Swarm City (SWT), Renos (RNS), Wetrust (TRST). All the opinions expressed are my own. I cannot guarantee gains; losses are sustainable; do your own financial research and make your decisions responsibly. All prices and values given are as of time of first writing (4th-May-2017).
 
Second disclaimer: Please do not buy Shadowcash (SDC), the project has been abandoned by it's developers who have moved on to the Particl Project (PART) (www.particl.io). The PARTICL crowd fund and SDC 1:1 token swap completed April 15th. You can still exchange SDC for PART but only if it was acquired prior to 15th April 2017 see: https://particl.news/a-community-driven-initiative-e26724100c3a for more information.
 
Addendum: Article updated 23-11-2017 to edit references to SDC (changed to Particl where relevant to reflect updated status) and clean up formatting.
submitted by joskye to Particl [link] [comments]

Crypto and the global economy.

Recently, Elementgroup has published its report about the influence of global economic's trends on the cryptocurrency. And it's kinda cool: https://elementgroup.com/wp-content/uploads/q2_2018_global_macro_and_crypto-1.pdf Short summary: Stock market correction's impact on the cryptocurrencies rates. Bitcoin-ETF perspectives. The BTC volatility. Influence of futures on the BTC price. A full price range. BTC competition with other financial assets. BTC being insensitive to macroeconomic effects. The potential impact of geopolitical risks and the Satoshi Nakamoto's protocol. The reaction of the BTC price to Brexit and the USA elections. Traditional media still do not understand cryptocurrency (and there is a reason for that).
submitted by CryptoMeow to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

General info and list of exchanges for Arepacoin (AREPA)

RESUMEN La Arepa Coin (AREPA), tiene su origen para el año 2016 por un grupo de desarrolladores con la idea de comercializar en el campo de las criptodivisas, pero luego para finales de ese mismo año es abandonada, ya que, la información sobre los avances de la misma dejaron de ser continuos, hasta que, para el año en curso (2018), es retomada por otro grupo de desarrolladores, quienes modifican el código fuente original y es relanzada con un nuevo nombre AREPA COIN VE. La cadena de bloques permite verificar y transferir de manera exacta toda la información, prescindiendo de terceros, brindando las herramientas necesarias para una operación exitosa, el reto o el objetivo principal es tener los instrumentos financieros transparentes, eficientes e inclusivos. La población en general, sin importar donde se encuentre, tendrá a su alcance una tecnología que le permitirá mantener el contacto directo con el país, saltando las barreras principales producto de las restricciones derivadas del bloqueo financiero, y disfrutará las ventajas de contar con diversos medio de pago robusto para estimular el ahorro, la comercialización, la producción y contribuir con desarrollo del país, para lograr una estabilización económica. INTRODUCCION La tecnología de cadena de bloques (blockchain), en el mercado global de criptodivisas, no es simplemente una tendencia, sino un futuro en el cual el manejo de las finanzas personales, empresariales, institucionales y potencialmente entre países se volverá más fácil, directo, rápido y transparente. La aplicación de esta tecnología, las criptomonedas, destacan su popularidad. Dichos instrumentos resultan convenientes para una sociedad global debido a que permiten mayor eficiencia, rapidez y libertad en todo tipo de transacciones, especialmente en el comercio internacional. Su uso ha generado un universo de oportunidades que tienen el potencial de alterar las prácticas de negocio convencionales, sobre todo en industrias basadas en la intermediación para el intercambio o la verificación, como las finanzas, el comercio, la manufactura e incluso en áreas del conocimiento humano que acostumbran adoptar las innovaciones tecnológicas en medianos y largos plazos, como lo son el derecho y la política. Aún falta masa crítica de adopción de las criptomonedas entre inversionistas, emprendedores, consumidores, instituciones, empresas e inclusive gobiernos, como alternativa de transferencia de valor e información: a principios de 2017 la cantidad de usuarios activos de criptomonedas en el todo el mundo se estimaba en alrededor de tres millones. Sin embargo, el crecimiento explosivo de la oferta y la demanda, del capital de mercado y las ofertas iniciales (ICOs), son claros indicadores de un crecimiento importante en la base de usuarios durante el año pasado. El desarrollo de criptoactivos está basado en la idea primordial de la sustitución del papel moneda por un sistema tecnológico de confianza. Este modelo de trabajo se fundamenta en el ingenioso mecanismo que combina redes, poder computacional e incentivos al trabajo colaborativo para garantizar la integridad de la información, trazabilidad y transparencia en los intercambios. Adicionalmente, ya que coloca directamente en las manos de las personas el manejo de sus recursos financieros, plantea un enfoque diferente de la seguridad en finanzas electrónicas. Sin embargo, a pesar de las ventajas inherentes de la tecnología blockchain o cadena de bloques, hasta ahora solo existen una cantidad sustancial de proyectos y de criptomonedas con un buen asentamiento en base a la confianza y la estabilidad, y Arepa Coin VE es una de ellas, la misma seria hasta ahora una de las cuatro criptomonedas existente en el país. 1 https://hbr.org/2017/03/the-blockchain-will-do-to-banks-and-law-firms-what-the-internet-did-to-media 2 https://capitalmarketsblog.accenture.com/blockchain-technology-a-fad-or-here-to-stay 3 https://coinmarketcap.com/ 4 https://www.forbes.com/sites/chancebarnett/2017/09/23/inside-the-meteoric-rise-of-icos/#1d6cb3b05670 1. ANTECEDENTES Para comenzar, debido a la situación y condición que se encuentra el país, muchos desarrolladores y usuarios finales se abocaron por la inmersión del sistema de criptodivisas, es decir, encontrar un canal por donde obtener ingresos y traspasos de valores, los cuales ayuden a encontrar una estabilización económica que tan anhela el país. Seguidamente, la necesidad de tener un canal que no dependa del sistema monetario tradicional o banca tradicional, ayudaran en diversos aspecto tanto a la sociedad Venezolana como Internacional. La combinación de estos antecedentes históricos y el reconocimiento internacional del enorme potencial de las nuevas tecnologías, sustentan la idea de la Arepa Coin VE como criptomoneda nacional e internacional desarrollada y promovida por un grupo de desarrolladores y comunidad en constante crecimiento para el desarrollo de una economía global descentralizada, más justa, inclusiva y transparente. 1 Barrdear, J. y Kumhof, M. (2016). Macroeconomics of central bank issued digital currencies. Bank of England Staff Working Paper No. 605 July 2 https://www.bis.org/review/r090402c.pdf 2. FUNDAMENTOS TECNOLOGICOS Para comenzar, debido a la situación y condición que se encuentra el país, muchos desarrolladores y usuarios finales se abocaron por la inmersión del sistema de criptodivisas, es decir, encontrar un canal por donde obtener ingresos y traspasos de valores, los cuales ayuden a encontrar una estabilización económica que tan anhela el país. 2.1. CADENAS DE BLOQUES (BLOCKCHAIN) Una cadena articulada o de bloques es un libro contable público que puede registrar transacciones entre dos partes de manera eficiente, verificable y permanente. Ello permite la sustitución tecnológica de la confianza a través del trabajo colaborativo de una red electrónica cuyos nodos responden a intereses diversos, que se alinean para garantizar la eficiencia del sistema por medio de reglas claras e incentivos otorgados por la misma red. La cadena de bloques organiza la información en forma de bloques, que son verificados por los nodos de la red para poderlos conectar al bloque que lo precede a través de un código hash. La conformación única de los códigos que vinculan a los bloques depende de mecanismos de encriptación que son, a su vez, definidos por una representación codificada y compactada de la serie de entradas que contengan. Una vez creado un bloque y verificado por un número determinado de nodos (o todos), según protocolos y reglas definidas desde el primer bloque de la cadena (“bloque génesis”), la modificación es distribuida a todos los nodos de la red. Todos los nodos tienen la totalidad del registro y la posibilidad (a veces, la obligación) de auditarlo en forma permanente y en tiempo real. La característica fundamental de una cadena de bloques es la “distribución”, es decir, la desconcentración de los trabajos y el acceso a la información. Todos los miembros tienen un rol importante (en la mayoría de las cadenas de bloques todos los nodos tienen exactamente el mismo rol), pero ninguno concentra información, ni tiene el poder de tomar algún tipo de decisión sobre la cadena, por lo que se requiere de un consenso global basado en reglas claras y estrictas cuando se desea realizar algún cambio. Los registros de una cadena de bloques son, por tanto, altamente confiables gracias a que garantizan la integridad de la información, trazabilidad de las transacciones y seguridad. El uso de las cadenas de bloques comienza a ganar popularidad globalmente. En la actualidad tiene centenares de aplicaciones. Esta tecnología de „registros electrónicos distribuidos‟ puede aprovecharse para administrar todo tipo de información: historias médicas, autoría y patentes, autentificación de datos, distribución de alimentos, bienes raíces y más, ofreciendo incluso la posibilidad de programar “contratos inteligentes” (Smart contracts) de ejecución automática, que prometen revolucionar muchas actividades e industrias alrededor del mundo. Entre las aplicaciones destaca el registro de transferencia de valor, pues las cadenas de bloques hacen posible -por primera vez en la historia- las transferencias electrónicas reales, es decir aquellas donde una parte cede a otra un elemento de información y pierde de forma definitiva su tenencia (la capacidad de usarlo o copiarlo). En pocas palabras, las cadenas de bloques eliminan la posibilidad del “doble uso” en la transferencia de información, que en operaciones financieras se traduce en “doble gasto”. 2.2. CRIPTOMONEDAS No es de extrañar que las cadenas de bloques hayan sido ideadas precisamente pensando en la preservación del valor y la libertad de manera descentralizada para realizar transferencias de éste. Bitcoin, la primera criptomoneda digital basada en la confianza y distribuida -sin la intervención de un ente central- fue su primera aplicación. Las criptomonedas son activos digitales diseñados para trabajar como medios de intercambio que usan criptografía para darle seguridad a sus transacciones, para controlar la creación de nuevas unidades y para verificar la transferencia de éstos. Las criptomonedas: a. Facilitan las transacciones monetarias y legales (Peer to Peer). b. Permiten la transferencia de activos (o certificaciones de su propiedad) de manera más segura. c. Facultan a los usuarios y las organizaciones sobre el manejo de sus finanzas, para que ellos mismos se conviertan en los dueños de los bancos, y no solo de la cuenta bancaria, al poseer un “monedero digital” o wallet para guardar sus criptomonedas. d. Evitan el alto costo transaccional de las compañías de tarjetas de crédito y procesadores de pago centralizados tradicionales. e. Ahorran tiempo gracias a la rapidez de las transacciones. f. Eliminan las barreras geográficas al ser impulsados y sustentados en protocolos de internet, dando acceso a operaciones financieras internacionales seguras. 3. LA OPORTUNIDAD Los momentos por los cuales el país venezolano está atravesando actualmente reaccionan como elementos catalizadores para la creación de criptomonedas que son respuestas tecnológicas a un solución que esta lo más cercana posible para combatir dicha problemática de impedimentos de compra y venta nacional e internacional. 4. AREPA COIN VE 4.1. DESCRIPCIÓN Arepa coin ve (AREPA) será un criptoactivo de fácil utilización de punto a punto, teniendo la capacidad de ser usado como elemento de mercado, compra, venta, ahorro, bienes, servicios, tradeo e intercambio con otras criptomonedas. Su utilización será el motor de promoción de una economía digital independiente, transparente y abierta a la participación directa de los ciudadanos del país y del mundo, que servirá de plataforma para el desarrollo de los criptoactivos y la innovación en Venezuela y otros países emergentes. Este instrumento impulsará el surgimiento de un sistema financiero global más justo, colaborativo, autónomo y favorable al crecimiento y el intercambio entre economías desarrolladas y en desarrollo: AREPA COIN VE POSEE ELEMENTOS PRIMORDIALES COMO: a) Medio de intercambio. Podrá ser usado para adquirir bienes o servicios y será canjeable por dinero fiduciario y otros criptoactivos o criptomonedas a través de casas de intercambio digitales. b) Plataforma digital. Podría ejercer las funciones de una representación digital de mercancías y/o materias primas (e-commodity) y servirá como andamio para crear otros instrumentos digitales orientados al comercio y las finanzas nacionales e internacionales. c) Instrumento de ahorro e inversión. Su valor estable alentará su uso como reserva de valor e inversión financiera. Divisibilidad AREPA será divisible en 100.000.000 de unidades. La unidad mínima de intercambio será denominada Relleno (0,00000001). 5. COMPRA, VENTA E INTERCAMBO La AREPA se podrá adquirir siguiente forma: a. Exchange o casas de intercambio. b. Vendedores oficiales autorizados por el grupo de desarrolladores en base a la confianza, su estabilizad y compromiso directo con la moneda. c. Utilización de otros medios de pagos con otro tipo de divisa de valor. d. Comunidad activa realizando transacciones directas con la moneda misma. La compra y venta de AREPA puede ser realizada de persona a persona, de portafolio a portafolio, en una manera segura. Está fuera del alcance de un bloqueo o limitación arbitraria por parte de terceros a menos que esté en manos de una entidad centralizada, tal como una casa de intercambio. Esta capacidad de la cadena de bloques AREPA para ejecutar operaciones directas de intercambio permitirá que el instrumento sea utilizado como medio de pago directo en negocios, restaurantes y empresas proveedoras de bienes y servicios. De todos modos, debe notarse que las casas de intercambio digital desempeñarán un rol fundamental en el monitoreo y prevención de actividades ilícitas y en el combate al lavado de dinero, por lo que constituyen el medio ideal para canalizar las actividades comerciales, industriales y de negocios de comercio internacional en las que AREPA interactúa con dinero fiduciario y con otros criptoactivos o criptomonedas.
EXCHANGE LIST
Binance
Huobi
Kucoin
Bibox
Qryptos
Satoexchange
BIGone
Bitrue
Bilaxy
Bit-Z
Linkcoin
SECURE WALLET
Ledgerwallet
Trezor
submitted by icoinformation to Arepacoin [link] [comments]

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