Bitcoin’s Deflationary Model and its Impact on the Price ...

Bitcoin Will Spiral Up and Down Forever

Bitcoin Will Spiral Up and Down Forever submitted by dominosci to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

How I ruined my life with Bitcoin for the 2nd time

I have been meaning to get this out of my chest for a while for years but only today I decided to tell my story for whoever wants to listen.

I will not go in much detail but I guess this is a typical gambler story.

I'll start by saying that I'm sort of an gambling addict. I started it as soon as I the bank mailed me a credit card when I was a college student.
I had a very small idea what credit cards were used for but never in my life it occurred to me to ever use one. But there it was, in the mailbox with some sweet limit for me to spend but I quickly put it in a drawer because I knew it was a bad thing to touch.
At the time I had "discovered" a method to make money guaranteed with hedging bets between different sportsbooks. I must say that back in the day you could make a living doing that and in my young adult life that was amazing.
It was a very decent extra money for a broke college student, but I quickly run out of sportsbooks to apply the method so I couldn't gain guaranteed money anymore.
So I started to gamble with that money I won. Ofc as the usual gambler, I lost it all. That's when it kicked me. I had this credit card in my drawer and one thing led to another bigger things.

It took me like 6 years to pay this credit card debt and finally be free and be gambling free also. My life was back to normal after I ruined it for years. I don't know if you can imagine the stress and anxiety this addiction carries.
I was working long hours just to pay this debt. Some months I didn't have money to pay utility bills or food.
I contemplated suicide for months, until I moved to a little better job and it lifted me up a little bit so I managed to pay all debts. Finally I was **free**.
That's when I heard about **bitcoin**. 2016. I started very small, bought a little and sold when high. "Reinvested" years later, got burnt, back to where I started and ofc I had to use the credit card again.
At this time the limit was way higher than back when I started to use it and my gambling addiction kicked in again to recover the wins.
After the credit card failed, I made loans to pay it off. Used loans to buy more bitcoin, etc etc
I invested again heavily and ofc the big crash came in 2017 and I was left with debt and my life ruined forever once more.
I ended up with almost 2 bitcoins, but like 3x the debt and I don't think I will ever be able to pay it off.
I put a stop to it right after the crash and for all this time I never touched my bitcoin or any gambling site again, but the monthly debt bills keep coming.
With my salary I'm able to keep paying the bills but always back to zero after the end of the month.

With this pandemic and staying so much time at home it got me thinking why not use the bitcoin and my addiction started kicking again.
I tried to stop it but once it got me pumped up there is no going back. I have no other addiction. Just this very expensive life ruining addiction.

I started withdrawing some bitcoin to feel the high of winnings and long story short I ended up losing it all. I still have this 1 bitcoin that I don't want to touch.
I'm writing this so I convince myself to not touch this last bitcoin. It's my last savior and hope. I feel like if I touch this bitcoin I will fall into the depression that I haven't had in years.
I'm already shaking and can't sleep at night for what I've done.
Bills keep piling up, girlfriend doesn't suspect a thing and is talking about saving money for a house and having a baby, but how can I?

All my income goes to paying the debt I accumulated over the years and I got nothing to show for it. I have no fancy cars, fancy clothes or anything.

I hope whoever sent me that credit card back when I was 18 didn't do so. It started a down spiraling down in my life that I don't see an out of it.
But that's banks for you. They want to control us from the very beginning of life.

I wasn't strong or savvy enough to say no to banks. I hope someday I can give this bitcoin to my child and for whatever its worth at the time I will know that it saved my life in the end.
submitted by btcsadlife to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

6 Extraordinary Salespeople.

Good news, your request has been approved! One of the Salespeople is willing have you as a customer! Alas, due to union rules, only one of the Salespeople can work with each customer, so you’ll have to choose one. Once you’ve chosen, you can contact them anytime- just ask and they’ll step from the air wherever you are.
The Salespeople will haggle, but they’re pretty good at it- you’re unlikely to get more then a small decrease in cost, and will probably be haggled up. They won't be your friend, they won’t help you in any way other then making a sale, and will avoid answering any questions about what they are or where they came from (except the Knowledge Broker, but you’ll have to pay through the nose for that one). They are also much more powerful then they seem, and have access to abilities far beyond those obviously visible- any attempt to attack, rob, scam or coerce them will fail at best.
Anyway! Here they are! Choose one to work with!
  1. The Death Merchant: She’s young and thin. 20 at most, with the nervous, overly friendly look of someone trying to make their first sale. In a bright suit and bright smile, she explains. She makes people die. She’s not a hitman, you understand. She just makes people die. Give her a name and description and they’ll die the next day. Default is a stroke but if you want to pay a bit more you can choose a preferred method of death. Can’t be traced back to you, can’t be protected against, can't be survived. No she’s not heard of “Death Note”, she’s never really been much of a reader. What does she want in exchange? Time. Specifically, yours. Kill off some randomer with a stroke, you’ll only age a few months. But the more “important” someone is (that is, the bigger knock-on effects their death will have) and the more elaborate the cause of death, the more time is lost. Killing a world leader is about a decade. She notices you don’t have a lot of years, so she’ll inform you that her branch is looking for freelancers. That is, if you personally kill someone, she can give you some time for it! Same rules. Kill some nobody on the street and gain three months, kill a world leader and you’ll become a decade younger. She grins that bright smile as you notice the grass she stood on has withered away. Kill anyone you want and live forever! What a bargain, huh? Shake her hand and let’s get started!
  2. The Body Crafter: He’s in his 50s. Dressed casually, blunt and straightforward. He’s not going to give you his sales pitch. He’s just going to tell you what he makes. Bodies. He looks over yours and sighs. You got one of those evolution-designed ones, didn’t you? They seem cheap but they’ll give out on you. Here, he’ll fix it. He can make you a new body. All the way up from simply cosmetically different to superhuman. He’s very good at your job and honestly, given the junker you’re in now, he’ll only bill you raw materials. Compassionate reasons, you see. All you have to do bring him some flesh. A minor change- skin or eye or hair color, a bit smaller or taller? That’ll be maybe a small animal. A dog or pig for something like healing a chronic disease or a true sex change. Something like a cow or horse for making you younger, or improving your strength or speed or intelligence or something a reasonable amount. If you want peak human abilities, or an ability an animal has? That’ll be a person. Maybe 2, if it’s a really rare trait. You want something superhuman? That’ll be a lot of people. Depends on how powerful you want to be. Try and get some kind of kryptonian bullshit and you’ll need to depopulate a large city. He won’t lie to you: these animals and people are gonna die. Horribly. He’ll want them restrained when you’re giving them to him- he’s already doing you a favor, he’s not going to beat them into submission for you. Just give him the design of your new body and he’ll tell you what he needs.
  3. The Knowledge Broker: Sometimes, she’s so old she’s barely breathing. Sometimes, she’s so young she needs help talking. Sometimes she’s a teen, sometimes a young woman, sometimes middle aged. But always she has that faint smile and piercing gaze. She leads with the point. She knows everything. Any secret, any knowledge, any fact. She knows it. But she won’t give it for free. You see, there’s only one thing she doesn’t know. And that’s experiences. She can look at two lovers and tell you every opinion they have on the relationship, tell you what neurons are firing and what hormones are being released. But she doesn’t know what it’s like to be in love. So she wants your memories. She’ll just pluck them out of your head. The harder to obtain your knowledge is, the more important the memory has to be. Trivia you could get away with your trip to the supermarket. Classified information you might need to give up the memory of your first kiss. Grand secrets of the universe might need an entire childhood. She’ll take traumatic experiences- after experiencing nothing, even pain is better- but she prefers pleasant memories. Incredibly happy memories are worth much more, while miserable ones are worth less. A truly horrific experience will be near worthless, I’m afraid. She looks at you. Well? She’s an old woman (for now). She’s waiting. Are you in or not?
  4. The Money Giver: You'd barely notice this person. You can’t tell their sex, their race, their age. They’re average height, average weight, neither ugly or attractive. They talk in a voice utterly lacking emotion or accent, and explain that they have realized what humans really value. “Money”. They will give you “money”. They will give you a lot of money, if you ask. Direct to your bank account, by default, but it you want it in cash or cheque or gold or bitcoin or something they’ll provide. They almost show a hint of smugness when they confirm the taxmen of your world have no hope of exposing them. It’ll be fully laundered. What they want is control. They’ll take control of your body for a bit. They promise not to kill anyone directly or harm your body. For a few hundred, it may only be for an hour. A thousand might get them a day. A million will get them six months. A billion will get them a decade. Of course, richer you are, the better your odds of dealing with the aftermath once you get your body back. You have traded control of your life for money before. Do so again. Sign the contract.
  5. The Dream Author: he’s rail thin, heavily scarred, scribbling in a book as you speak. It takes him clear effort to stop and look up at you to begin his pitch. How would you like to visit one of his stories? It’ll be perfectly realistic, and it can feel like up to a decade. And he can write you however you want. He doesn’t judge, he’s written stories for all kinds of people. You wanna be a brutal god-king, crushing all opposition? You wanna be a hero who saves millions? You wanna just fuck? He prides himself on being a multi-genre writer. Whatever you provide, he can work with. It’s not real, of course. After the decade, you’ll wake where you were, only a few seconds having passed, as if it never happened. You’ll remember it all, don’t worry. All it costs is something you significantly emotionally value. Maybe an precious photo or something. Artists can’t be choosers. How long does it take to go onto pets or people? Well, depends on how often you enter a story, and how long it takes you to run out. If you're scared of spiraling, he’ll offer you a deal. Pay up front- destroy every object, kill every person, burn everything you care about- and he’ll put you in a story permanently. For as long as you subjectively like, in whatever world you like. If the cost really upsets you, he’ll make you imaginary versions of the people you love. You can do that, in his stories. You can do anything in his stories.
  6. The Luck Trader. They’re androgynous and beautiful, dressed delicately. They’re always grinning, and never still. They talk musically and never touch iron. They have a sack, and inside are tokens. Tokens of luck. Lucky in love? Lucky in money? Lucky in health? Whatever area you want, they can give it to you. Just have the token on you, and watch the luck flow towards you. It’s not perfect- this isn’t “winning lottery ticket rains down from the sky” luck- but things will go your way far more often then would otherwise be the case. It’s a boost, but it’s a hefty boost. If you take advantage, you could go very far in life. Of course, the tokens need activating. Just choose someone to activate it. It has to be someone you know personally- not necessarily someone you like, or know well, but you need to have had at least one genuine conversation with them. And the Trader will take them away. They’ll just be gone. No-one will ever find them. And you will get your token. Buy as many tokens as you like! You just need to keep offering up people, and you’ll get as many lucky breaks as you want. Their eyes glitter with hunger as they speak. Just give them people and watch the doors of the world open before you. It's a bargain.
submitted by Urbenmyth to 6Perks [link] [comments]

1234

[ 🎶 Thinking Cap ] This post is framed around results of cypher-based queries for the number 1234 against my custom lexicon files built up over a year of phrase inputs (mostly gleaned from newspaper headlines and their 'quoted phrases', or stream of conciousness inspired by them). There are not very many, but the few there are appear to be instructive. I have used some repetition to aid those with trouble remembering numbers. Perhaps NSFW. (For the confused: see here, here and here)
If you are brand new to this collection of scrolls, I recommend reading (as much as you can of) this before returning here, which will help to justify my particular focus below (the belt).
Did you gnow A=1?
There are 26 letters in the English-Latin Alphabet.
The basic alphabetic gematria code acknowledges that A=1, B=2, C=3, ..., Z=26 (ie. ordinal gematria).
In this basic alphabetic cypher (which is implied if I do not specify):
If you flip the numeric ordering about (ie. look in the mirror: treat 'Z' as 1, down to 'A' as 26), then...
This ("The ABC") is the name of the earliest alphabet primer textbooks for kids.
The first church primers paralleled the introduction of school textbooks known as “the ABC”
The Alphabet is a vessel for messages:
If, instead of the basic alphabetic ordinal cyphers above, we use another cypher some call Agrippa's Key, and some call the 'jewish cipher', which is based on the ancient Hebrew and Greek gematria charts, and maps that scheme to the Latin Alphabet, we can ask a catch-phrase question (written more formally than usual)
What's in a name?
Indeed:
Here we move beyond the three steps of ABC and arrive at the Door of Dalet. Behind it, if we have the write keys, we might discover...
The results of...
Itself the result of...
... of the Masters of the Ages.
Or not.
Many folks shun numbers:
  • "Obnoxious" = 1234 trigonal
  • ... ("number" = 73 = "crazy" ... but "perfect" = "count" = 73)
  • "The Great Learning" = 1234 trigonal
  • ... "Great Knowledge" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... ( "Great Knowledge" = 449 primes (*) )
  • ... ( .. ... "Mental Contact" = 449 primes )
  • ... ( .. .. "Population" = 449 primes )
  • "Silence is Golden" = 449 primes (ie. Hush in the Library)
  • "Great Knowledge" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... "Forbidden Word" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... .. .. ( "Silence is Golden" = 449 primes )
  • "My Call of Duty" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... "Great Knowledge" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • .. ... .. "What is in a name?" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • "Silent Warrior" = 1234 english-extended
  • ... ( "Rain" = 322 trigonal ) ( "Number" = 73 alphabetic; "Jake" = "Bard" = 73 primes )
  • ... ( .. "Counting" = 322 trigonal ) ( "Count" = 73 = "Perfect" = "Number" )
  • ... ( .. "To Know" = 322 trigonal ) ( "The Mind" = 73 = "Count" = "Number" )
  • ... ( .. "The Proof" = 322 trigonal )
  • ... ( .. .. "Final Proof" = 322 jewish-latin-agrippa )
Genesis 3:22 (KJV Bible)
And the Lord God said, Behold, the man is become as one of us, to know good and evil: and now, lest he put forth his hand, and take also of the tree of life, and eat, and live for ever:
  • "To Know" = 322 primes
  • "A Magic Number" = 322 primes
  • .. .. ... "Magician" = 322 trigonal
Make it ...
  • "Rain" = 322 trigonal
... for the ...
  • "Girl" = 322 trigonal
Thor and Jane meet again: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0HzpZAgAwY
  • "Full Name" = 322 jewish-latin-agrippa (ie. Count it! ... but you are fool to reveal it)
  • ... .. .. ( "What is in a name?" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa )
  • .. .. ... ( ... https://forgottenrealms.fandom.com/wiki/True_name )
  • . .. ... "Counting" = 322 primes
  • ... .. "Count" = 393 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • .. . "Accurate" = 393 primes
  • . "Accountancy" = 393 primes
  • "Counting" = 322 primes
  • "Full Name" = 322 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... ( "A Magic Number" = 322 primes )
  • "What is in a name?" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... "Great Knowledge" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... .. .. "The Spells of Eden" = 1234 trigonal
The Fruit of the Tree of Knowledge...
  • "Great Knowledge" = 449 primes
  • "Sex Education" = 449 primes
  • ... ( building "Population" = 449 primes )
...And they knew they were naked (ie. eyes opened):
  • "Shame On You" = 1234 trigonal
  • ... "The First Day" = 1234 trigonal
  • ... .. .. "The Spells of Eden" = 1234 trigonal
  • "Sex Education" = 1337 english-extended (ie. Elite codes)
  • "The Spells of Eden" = 1234 trigonal
  • ... "Great Knowledge" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... .. .. "The Great Learning" = 1234 trigonal
  • .. .. ... "A Great Work" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... "Speak Loud and Clear" = 1234 trigonal
  • ... .. "Water out!" = 1234 trigonal (ie. 'The Number' ~= 'Pregnant' ~= 'A Baby')
  • ... .. .. "The Spells of Eden" = 1234 trigonal (ie. spell-casting -> spillage -> spoil it)
Serpents, and Tower of Babylon:
  • "What is in a name?" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... "The Unpatchable Code" = 1234 trigonal (DNA code; written language, (relatively) hard to change)
  • ... .. .. "The Spells of Eden" = 1234 trigonal
  • .. .. ... "The One Source" = 1234 trigonal
  • .. .. ... .. "The Duration of One Year" = 1234 jewish-latin-agripa
  • ... .. .. ... .. "The Source" = 365 primes (ie. days in a year, solar orbit)
ie. Matrix Code - Mother Code Pregnancy Procedure and Cascading Responsibility.
  • "My little Pony" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
If you're lucky:
  • "Birth of Twins" = 1234 english-extended
ie. quantum-entanglement: you cannot give birth to your first alphabetic Son, a strong boy named Aleph, and deny he is '1'. You cannot have your second child, a beautiful maiden, Beth, and deny she is '2'.
Animals on the ark 2 by 2. You cannot order the alphabet, and deny the letters have ordinal indexes (ie. numbers associated with them - significant others)
  • "Boat" = 123 primes
To travel down...
  • "Denial" = 123 primes ...is as easy as ABC.
Again, many folks shun numbers:
Obstetrics is the field of study concentrated on pregnancy, childbirth, and the postpartum period. As a medical specialty, obstetrics is combined with gynaecology under the discipline known as obstetrics and gynecology (OB/GYN) which is a surgical field.
  • "Obnoxious" = 1234 trigonal
  • ... "The Number" = 333 primes
  • ... "Unspeakable" = 333 primes
  • ... "The Unspeakable Number" = 666 primes
  • .
  • "Counting" = 322 primes
  • "Magician" = 322 trigonal
  • ... "Magician" = 156 primes
  • ... "Apple" = 156 primes
  • ... ( the 156th prime number is 911 )
  • ... ( ... "Divine Feminine" = 911 jewish-latin-agrippa )
  • ... ( ... "She is a Beauty" = 911 jewish-latin-agrippa )
  • ... ( ... "Sexy Girl" = 911 jewish-latin-agrippa )
  • ... ( "The Last Proof of Life After Death" = 911 primes )
I have a spell-matching feature that can cross-match multiple cypher results and return the 'closest frequency matches' of all the spells I've ever entered into my gematria tools. At the time of writing the lexicon file is half a megabyte in size (plain text) and contains 37,694 words and phrases.
When I ask for the spellings that most closely match: "live forever", I get the following three results as top matches:
  • 'white liquid', 'into the girl', and 'the dilution' (with 8+ cypher matches)
There are a lot of flowery symbolic or metaphorical phrases that it could have returned, but it seems the Heptapods are rather blunt.
Again:
  • "Divine Feminine" = 911 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... .. "Sexy Girl" = 911 jewish-latin-agrippa
From...
Revelation 9:11 King James Version (KJV):
And they had a king [41] over them, which is the angel of the bottomless pit, whose name in the Hebrew tongue is Abaddon [41] , but in the Greek tongue hath his name Apollyon.
This is perhaps a dual - the Abaddon is both Father Beast (and Lord of the Harem, perhaps, given the plural 'them') and the Beastly Progeny (ie. King and Prince):
  • "Pregnant" = 333 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • "The Temple" = 333 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... "A Baby" = 333 trigonal
The angelic little baby, retrieved from the bottomless pit, is the apple of mommy and daddy's eyes (even though it is very naughty, ruling over their lives for many years after his or her noxious retrieval from the Underworld).
"I wonder why?" = 474 primes ( "Accountancy" = 393 primes )
  • "Numerology" = 474 primes
  • "Great Pattern" = 474 primes
  • "Object of Lust" = 474 primes ( "Deny Nature" = 419 primes )
  • "The Devil, Woman" = 474 primes (ie. Beauty and the Beast)
  • .
  • ... "The Number" = 333 primes
  • ... .. .. "A Baby" = 333 trigonal
  • "The Great Emergence" = 474 primes
  • "Population" = 449 primes
  • ... "Sex Education" = 449 primes
  • .. .. .. "Surveillance" = 449 primes
  • ("A Pornographic" = 616 englist-extended [ie. "Number" = 616 trigonal ] )
  • ("Pornographica" = 616 eng-ext [ie. "Perfect Number" = 616 jewish-latin-agrippa ] )
  • ... ("The Law" = 616 trigonal )
  • ... ("Garden of Eden" = 616 trigonal )
  • .
  • "To Know" = 322 primes
You cannot unsee it:
  • "Girl" = 322 trigonal <---- pornographic numeric hieroglyph
To each there own:
  • "Tradition" = 393 jewish-latin-agripa
  • "The Perfect Woman" = 1,393 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • "Tradition" = 393 jewish-latin-agripa
  • ... "Count" = 393 jewish-latin-agripa
  • .. .. ... "Accountancy" = 393 primes
Occult Alphabet = English Alphabet = Statistics
  • "Figures Reveal..." = 1234 trigonal
  • .... "Liberal Party" = 1234 trigonal
  • Q: .. "What Rules?" = 1234 english-extendedd
  • A: .. "Just Sign Here"* = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
The closest multi-cypher spectrum match against dictionary files (as described here), to the spell "One Thing" is:
  • "enduring" (with 9+ matches)
  • "Tradition" = 393 jewish-latin-agripa
  • ... "Survive" = 393 primes
  • ... .. .."Greyhound race" = 1234 trigonal
  • .. .. ... ... "The Rat Race" = 314 primes (ie. pi; commute in circles)
  • "Great Place" = 1234 square
Viva Las Vegas (ie. V.L.V ):
777 (ie. to win at slots):
  • "A Triple-Seven" = 1234 trigonal | 2,322 squares
The Boeing 777 is a premiere passenger aircraft.
The Boeing 787 is called the Dreamliner (ie "The Call" = 787 squares ... of Morpheus)
The Boeing 747 is Old Faithful, the Jumbo Jet of Time
Air Force One is a 747
  • "Air Force" = 223 primes
  • "Winds" = 223 primes
  • "Goddess" = 223 primes
  • ... "The Law" = 223 primes
  • ... "Air Force" = 223 primes
  • "Winds" = 223 primes
  • .
  • "The Law" = "Goddess" = 223 primes
She steps on "The Scale" = 223 primes ...
...and hopes she is ...
  • "Weightless" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
From an old Alphabet Primer:
... He that ne'er learns his ABC,
... For ever will a Blockhead be.
... But he that learns these Letters fair,
... Shall have a Coach to take the Air.
Are you ready, Icarus?
  • "This is the deal" = 139 = "Occult Alphabet"
  • ... "Competition" = 139 = "Pyramid scheme" = "Ancient Egypt"
Mirror Mirror, upon the wall, who is the Pharaoh over all?
Extra credit:
Read about the taming of Enkidu, in the myth of Gilgamesh:
  • "The Spells of Eden" = 1234 trigonal
  • "Great Knowledge" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... "Great Knowledge" = 449 primes
  • ... "Sex Education" = 449 primes | 1337 english-extended
  • ... .. .. "Prostitute" = 1234 english-extended
  • .. .. ... .. "Carnival Row" = 1234 english-extended
  • ... .. .. "Prostitute" = 1234 english-extended
  • .. .. ... ... "Presidential Golf Course" = 1234 english-extended
  • "One, Two, Three, and Four" = 227 basic alphabetic (the 'and' was for ... metrical reasons.)
  • ... ( "The Emergence" = 722 trigonal ... ie. pi and reverse pi; circles)
Q: ?
  • "A: The Emergence" = 314 primes (ie. classic Amorican pi)
  • "A: The Emergence" = 1337 squares (ie. "sex education" = 1337 english-extended)
  • "The Alphabetical Epidemic" = 1234 trigonal
  • ... "Not entirely true(?)" = 1234 jewish-latin-agrippa
Enregisterment is often partially, rather than completely, true, sort of like an accent viewed through a funhouse mirror.
I was triggered to made this post due to various recent media 'events', this 'crazy' 'news item' the final straw that broke the gimel's black (I link to old reddit theme because it is objectively better ):
Also, see recent threads:
Relevant numbers & links:
Also, perhaps relevant pings:
Disclaimer:
You might have noticed the game I've long played with the dots used for spacing and indenting lists of spells. They usually follow the pattern of:
  • ... (ie. 3, trinity, the Beatrice of the Matrix Code)
  • ... .. (ie. 32, life, Eve)
  • ... ... (ie. 33, magic, name, a life)
  • . .. ... (ie. 123, alphabetic codes, the ABC, initation)
  • ... .. . (ie. 321, countdown to church society)
  • ... .. .. (ie. 322, to know, the proof is counting)
  • .. .. ... (ie. 223, the law, chapter 1, the scale, goddess, Lucifer, the moon)
  • .. ... .. (ie. 232, scary, number, Satan)
  • ... .. ... (ie. 323, Lucifer, 1 Goddess)
  • ... .. .. ... (ie. 3223, the upward spiral, ascending the tower of babylon)
Sometimes the layout is thematically tied to the associated text.
  • . "Scary" = 232 primes
  • .. "Number" = 232 primes
  • ... "Tell All" = 232 primes
Wiki Index: https://old.reddit.com/GeometersOfHistory/wiki/index
.
EDIT:
Chinese researcher accused of trying to smuggle vials of ‘biological material’ out of US hidden in a sock
Sweeping ban on semiautomatic weapons takes effect in New Zealand
  • "The Semiautomatic Rifle" = 232 basic alphabetic
  • ... "Bullet" = 232 primes
  • ... "Scary" = 232 primes
  • ... .. .. "Number" = 232 primes
  • ... "Scary" = 232 primes
  • ... .. .. "Satan" = 232 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • .
  • "Semiautomatic Rifles" = 1776 trigonal
  • .
  • "The Semiautomatic Rifle" = 232 basic alphabetic
  • ... "Bullet" = 232 primes
  • ... "Number" = 232 primes
Bullet News Bulletsin Bullet points Bullet Bull ET Extraterrestrial Bull Bull God
  • "The Bull God" = 322 primes
.
EDIT: - moments later - :
https://old.reddit.com/occult/comments/eee131/does_anyone_know_what_this_symbol_represents_its/
Does anyone know what this symbol represents, it's familiar to me and puts of a very unique energy and I cannot place it
  • "unique energy" = 322 baconis | 522 primes ("the prime number" = 522 primes)
  • "(a) very unique energy" = 232 basic alphabetic | 2,247 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... "very unique energy" = 2023 trigonal (ie. 223 with zephyr)
  • "the very unique energy" = 264 basic alphabetic ("Source" = 264 primes)
The golden ratio is 1.61(8...)
  • ... "unique energy" = 161 basic alphabetic
  • ... "unique energy" = 1601 english-extended
  • ... "unique energy" = 1061 jewish-latin-agrippa
  • ... .. "energizer" = 1061 english-extended
  • ... .. .. "unique energy" = 161 basic alphabetic | 322 baconis
  • .. .. ... "undercurrent" = 161 basic alphabetic | 322 baconis
  • .. .. ... "song of creation" = 161 basic alphabetic | 322 baconis
https://old.reddit.com/GeometersOfHistory/comments/cyr1nq/gematria_of_161_and_322/
EDIT - again, next day (remembering that 'president' ~= 'count' ~= 'accountancy'):
I wrote here, a few days ago:
These are things we can imagine Alphabet Sages might desire to encode and honour - as much for a mnemonic purpose, as for teaching purposes, or for archiving [...] knowledge [...] or purely for the sake of esoterica itself (ie. wizard just likes math, or architecture, and thus honours math and arches, secretely in words using basic algebra and references to certain idioms and golden numbers. Wizard works for King, shows him tricks. King decrees new Bible edition, and new Dictionary version).
Today:
https://www.reddit.com/worldnews/comments/eemt1d/china_orders_christians_to_rewrite_the_bible_fo
China orders Christians to rewrite the Bible for the era of President Xi
China orders Christians to rewrite the Bible for the era of President Xi
  • "Right the Bible" = 369 primes
  • "The Alphabet Code" = 369 primes
  • "Ritual Code" = 1,666 squares
  • "Aright the Bible" = 1,666 squares
  • "The Bible: 1 Right" = 1,666 squares
EDIT - next day again (Christmas Eve) -- re: bullets (first edit above)
https://games.slashdot.org/story/19/12/23/2042253/how-do-bullets-work-in-video-games
How Do Bullets Work in Video Games?
https://arstechnica.com/science/2019/12/lessons-from-scorching-hot-weirdo-planets/
Q&A(stronony) —
Lessons from scorching hot weirdo-planets
The first kind of exoplanet found, Hot Jupiters still perplex and captivate
from The Comte De Gabalis, discourse 1: https://www.sacred-texts.com/eso/cdg/cdg04.htm
He found me to be of a tractable, inquiring, and fearless disposition. A dash of melancholy is lacking in me, else I would make all, who are inclined to blame the Comte de GABALIS for having concealed nothing from me, confess that I was a not unfit subject for the Occult Sciences. One cannot make great progress in them, it is true, without melancholy; but the little that I possess in no wise disheartened him. You have, he told me a hundred times, Saturn in an angle, in his own house, and retrograde; some day you cannot. fail to be as melancholy as a Sage ought to be; for the wisest of all men, as we learn in the Cabala, had like you Jupiter in the Ascendant, nevertheless so powerful was the influence of his Saturn, though far weaker than yours, that one cannot find proof of his having laughed a single time in all his life. The Amateurs must, therefore, find fault with my Saturn and not with the Comte de GABALIS, if I prefer to divulge their secrets rather than to practise them.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2019/12/optical-quantum-computer-goes-big-in-new-quest-for-quantum-supremacy/
Photons are (almost) supreme —
Why I dislike what “quantum supremacy” is doing to computing research
  • "Photonics" = 119 | 47 reduced (ie. Orthodox, Foundation, Master Plan)
  • "Photonics" = 968 trigonal
  • "A+ Photonics" = 969 trigona (ie. Matrix Code)
Q: Light particles?
"A: Bits of Light" = 393 primes (ie. Bits of a Light )
submitted by Orpherischt to GeometersOfHistory [link] [comments]

Bitcoin as gold in a time of economic experimentation and geo-political tension

Boss Crypto Letter To Investors #5 - August
Note: Research data compiled from blockchain.info, coinmetrics and unchainedcapital.
Bitcoin As Gold
The narrative around Bitcoin as “digital gold” or “gold 2.0” has been strengthening in recent months and we have even seen Bitcoin slip into a strong inverse correlation to US stocks. For us, this is not a new story and the potential for Bitcoin to shine in this arena is something we have been propagating for years. The topic is hotly debated given the potential diversification benefits that exposure to Bitcoin has in portfolio construction. There are certain times when Bitcoin trades in line with risk assets, selling off when equity volatility spikes and when liquidity runs dry, however it has little to no correlation with traditional asset classes like commodities, bonds, currencies, or stocks.
The world unfolding around us is brewing the perfect storm that most perma Bitcoin bulls have been waiting for since the beginning. Bitcoin has only ever existed in a global bull-market and perhaps for the first time in 10 years that might be about to change. Amid extreme monetary policies and rising geopolitical tensions the narrative for Bitcoin as digital gold has scarcely been stronger. Combine this with the fact that investors are starving for growth and unable to hit their benchmarks with traditional portfolio’s the comparison between the current Bitcoin market cap and the market cap for investible gold becomes an enticing proposition. The best part? A comparison to gold might not even be the end of the road for Bitcoin. Right now there are almost no assets that largely sit outside the purview of any single government. If we see the political tensions in our world rise and the ability of these governments to service their debts comes into question the demand for non-sovereign assets is likely to boom.
The rising risk of currency devaluation, especially among reserve currencies, combined with its non sovereign nature is a longer-term catalyst that may propel BTC to new untold heights. The opportunity cost of not holding Bitcoin is getting higher every day as the long-term outlook for traditional asset classes and growth continues in a downward spiral.
Late In The Cycle
In this edition I wanted to take a step back to look at the global macro economic environment. I believe that we are entering an era where the understanding of economics and appropriate investment principles will be imperative for success. As of July we have now officially seen the longest period of sustained growth in history and it’s getting late (perhaps very late) in that cycle.
-Bleak global growth projections -Trade wars -Weak inflation -$14 trillion of negative yielding debt -Unprecedented monetary policies -Late in the cycle stimulus -Declining corporate profits -Stocks rallying into the promise of rate cuts and additional stimulus -Explosion of low quality credit -Explosion of IPO’s showing just as explosive losses
The global slowdown everyone has been fearing is starting to show up in economic data. With short term interest rates already low economic stimulus measures may need to be more extreme to be effective. The central banks of our world are preparing the global market for more rate cuts and additional stimulus as they attempt to prolong the current economic expansion, seemingly “forever”. The implication of economic policies favouring growth (including the forecast for multiple rate cuts by the end of 2019) are already impacting market prices and portfolio structure.
As we have talked about many times in previous letters, investors are being pushed further and further out on the risk curve in their search for a return high enough to satisfy their benchmarks. With government debt yields, fixed income and traditional value assets underperforming the focus has shifted to growth assets throwing support behind Bitcoin for the time being. Money Supply and Risk Assets Monetary policy plays a significant role in markets. When there is an increase in the money supply there tends to be a strong performance in risk assets while at the same time pushing investors further out the risk curve as they compete for the best returns. Lower rates and more relaxed monetary policy not only encourages borrowing (creating a surplus of money) it also forces investors to change the way they invest because it damages the potential returns from traditionally safe assets.
It is speculated that the Fed will keep the door open for further rate cuts by the end of 2019, but be careful when analysing how much of this has already been priced into the markets, including Bitcoin. Generally speaking investors are willing to pay higher multiples when the other alternatives available to them are unattractive.
Right now bond yields across the board from sovereign to corporate debt are very unattractive which has pushed investors towards equities.
Analysis The almost illogically high concentration of Bitcoin and high-caps in our portfolio has continued to bring in immense rewards over the past few months. There were only 12 projects with a market capitalization over $15 million which outperformed Bitcoin year-to-date. UTXO Analysis When looking at the base of Bitcoin holders compared to our previous reports not much has changed in the last three months. Holders in the 3-5 year bands have decreased however the reason for the decrease is not from selling, it is because they have been moved into the 5+ year bands which is sitting around all time highs at 21.5% of total Bitcoin supply. ​ The only longer dated band with a noticeable amount of sellers was the 1-2 year band where sellers accounted for about half of the 1.8% decline in that band, and a shift into the 2-3 year band representing the other half. By far the largest amount of selling during the recent rally can be found in the youngest bands. Holders in the 3-6 month band and 6-12 month band respectively. The 3-6 month band has come down from down from 10.2% to 6.8% with selling accounting for the majority of the drop.
Liquid Supply ​ (Defined as coins that have moved in the last 90 days)
The majority of this liquid supply is continuing to come from short term UTXO’s (traders). When compared to the previous cycle bottom we can see a very similar pattern emerge.
Around July 2015 the liquid supply began to increase as trading activity began to draw in speculators again. During this same period long term holders remained unphased. This type of movement is correlated with a rise in volatility as trading volumes begin to influence the velocity of price. From a cyclical perspective it is likely that volatility is peaking now. If that proves to be true it is likely that the liquid supply will again decrease over the coming months.
It wasn’t until then 2017 bull run that long term holders started to contribute to the increased liquid supply, so without large increases or decreases in price I feel it is unlikely that long term holders will be drawn into trading and the current cycle of holding will dominate.
Conclusion
One thing that I would like for you to remember here is that despite the potentially favorable economic environment for Bitcoin it is very important to note the following: In the face of any serious economic downturn, market crash or correction there will be a shortage of credit and a shortage of liquidity. This forces investors to sell off assets as they scramble for cash and risk assets are often sold off first. When investors need cash, they may need to sell their Bitcoin, no matter how badly they “wish” to hold it. A prudent Bitcoin investor will understand that Bitcoin is still an asset and has not yet proven itself in serious crisis as a miracle hedge, or even as a viable digital gold.
. . .
Taken from the Boss Crypto VIP Newsletter at: https://bosscrypto.co/
submitted by BawsCole to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Announcement: Symphony_IOHK Releases Symphony-Web 2.0

Announcement: Symphony_IOHK Releases Symphony-Web 2.0

View from inside a blockchain galaxy
The Symphony project began with a question: how do we represent blockchain technology in a way that is stimulating, entertaining, and audio-visually engaging for a wider audience, technical and non-technical. In other words, how do we explain the abstract and give form to the formless.

It’s been over a year since we answered that question, and we’re still working to make Symphony the most interactive and immersive blockchain experience available. What began as a way to visualize the blockchain has evolved into a way to experience the blockchain: an immersive journey accessible through your device’s browser.

The result is Symphony 2.0: a 3D explorer through which anyone can traverse the topographic history of the Bitcoin blockchain, from the first transaction to the most recent. Compared with the first version, Symphony 2.0 goes deeper in every way. It drills down into transaction data to create a live soundscape – each block has its own unique audio signature – using data-driven sound synthesis. It looks like this:


Soar over the galaxies of blockchians

How it Works

As you can imagine, giving feeling to data isn’t easy. Creating a sound for each block was how I wanted to represent the uniqueness and permanence of the blockchain: once added, a block is there forever, making that same sound, containing those same transactions.

I used a technique called additive synthesis to generate sound on the fly, and utilized the parallel nature of graphics cards to synthesize a unique sound for each of the thousands of transactions that can make up a block. The sound signature that plays when you visit a block consists of each transaction producing eight sine waves (a fundamental pitch and seven harmonics). The fundamental pitch is determined by the transaction value, and the amount of randomness added to the harmonics partials is controlled by the fee-to-value ratio of the transaction.

https://preview.redd.it/w6be8pwjb5931.png?width=1114&format=png&auto=webp&s=856bbc3572cf535a35ea20a086daa467e6512e8e

Design Philosophy

With Symphony 2.0, the blockchain’s mempool – which stores unconfirmed transactions – is visualized as a gravitational swell, around which confirmed transactions spiral in concentric rings. Think of Saturn’s rings but, instead of particles of ice and rock, we have transactions, continuously adding to the size of the rings as they extend outwards. Then, undergirding each block are Merkle trees represented, unsurprisingly, as trees.

https://preview.redd.it/exoldf4lb5931.png?width=1120&format=png&auto=webp&s=07c632b930131b94b4852293bfe6272b4a9ef90f
On top of each block, confirmed transactions are visualized as 3D hexagons. Their height corresponds to the transaction volume, and their width (note the rotund individuals to the right of the image above) corresponds to the health of the block. The result is an unprecedented imagining of the blockchain, with its representative parts synced and manifest, explorable block-by-block or through a flight-simulator mode.

Ways to Experience Symphony

Symphony 2.0 is now live It can be accessed using any modern web browser, but is best experienced in Google Chrome. For laptop and mobile device users, it’s advised to select the Medium quality option and, for those with high-performance devices or dedicated graphics support, the High quality option. Performance optimizations will continue into the future.

Together with our friends at Kuva, a Bristol-based creative agency, we’ve also grown the project to include events and exhibition pieces. These events – one of which was held this year in Bristol – have included a number of exhibitions that showcase different parts of the project, including virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR).

Using WebVR software, I built a VR experience based on the code for Symphony 2.0, which demonstrates the extensibility of the system. This will be exhibited at future events and, I hope, one day available for VR headsets at home.

What’s Next

We’re going on tour. We have the story, and now we need an audience. I’m also starting to build an Ethereum version using the same code base, which will feature explorable smart contracts, and, after that, Cardano. We know there are thousands of people out there who are only faintly familiar with blockchain technology and want to know more – and with Symphony 2.0, they’ll be able to cut through the confusion. A picture tells a thousand words, and an interactive audio-visual experience tells many more.

Symphony is a long-term project. It’s as much an adventure for us as our audience. We want to see how far we can take it – because blockchain technology is still developing, still growing, and the opportunity for education is only just beginning. The release of Symphony 2.0 marks a significant milestone for us, and we’re thrilled to be sharing it with you. There’s a lot of opportunity for Symphony, from optimizations and incorporation of other blockchains, to events and more ways to enjoy Symphony at home. So, stay tuned for more updates and, in the meantime, enjoy the world’s first interactive blockchain experience.
- Blog Post by Scott Darby, IOHK Creative Coder

Experience Symphony Web Now

-
https://iohk.io/blog/announcing-the-release-of-symphony-2/
submitted by Classic_Kevin_ETC to cardano [link] [comments]

Ever Flown Around Inside Bitcoin? IOHK Introduces Symphony 2.0: The first ever 3D, immersive blockchain explorer

Ever Flown Around Inside Bitcoin? IOHK Introduces Symphony 2.0: The first ever 3D, immersive blockchain explorer

(L) Bitcoin transactions: The higher the larger value; (R) Mempool w/ incoming tx.s
The Symphony project began with a question: how do we represent blockchain technology in a way that is stimulating, entertaining, and audio-visually engaging for a wider audience, technical and non-technical. In other words, how do we explain the abstract and give form to the formless.

It’s been over a year since we answered that question, and we’re still working to make Symphony the most interactive and immersive blockchain experience available. What began as a way to visualize the blockchain has evolved into a way to experience the blockchain: an immersive journey accessible through your device’s browser.

The result is Symphony 2.0: a 3D explorer through which anyone can traverse the topographic history of the Bitcoin blockchain, from the first transaction to the most recent. Compared with the first version, Symphony 2.0 goes deeper in every way. It drills down into transaction data to create a live soundscape – each block has its own unique audio signature – using data-driven sound synthesis. It looks like this:


The flight simulation over the bitcoin network. Watch out for incoming tx.s!

How it Works

As you can imagine, giving feeling to data isn’t easy. Creating a sound for each block was how I wanted to represent the uniqueness and permanence of the blockchain: once added, a block is there forever, making that same sound, containing those same transactions.

I used a technique called additive synthesis to generate sound on the fly, and utilized the parallel nature of graphics cards to synthesize a unique sound for each of the thousands of transactions that can make up a block. The sound signature that plays when you visit a block consists of each transaction producing eight sine waves (a fundamental pitch and seven harmonics). The fundamental pitch is determined by the transaction value, and the amount of randomness added to the harmonics partials is controlled by the fee-to-value ratio of the transaction.

View looking up: Merkle trees under respective blocks; Mempool on the right

Design Philosophy

With Symphony 2.0, the blockchain’s mempool – which stores unconfirmed transactions – is visualized as a gravitational swell, around which confirmed transactions spiral in concentric rings. Think of Saturn’s rings but, instead of particles of ice and rock, we have transactions, continuously adding to the size of the rings as they extend outwards. Then, undergirding each block are Merkle trees represented, unsurprisingly, as trees.

View Top Down: Transactions as pillars, on top of blocks, on top of Merkle trees; Mempool in background
On top of each block, confirmed transactions are visualized as 3D hexagons. Their height corresponds to the transaction volume, and their width (note the rotund individuals to the right of the image above) corresponds to the health of the block. The result is an unprecedented imagining of the blockchain, with its representative parts synced and manifest, explorable block-by-block or through a flight-simulator mode.

Ways to Experience Symphony

Symphony 2.0 is now live It can be accessed using any modern web browser, but is best experienced in Google Chrome. For laptop and mobile device users, it’s advised to select the Medium quality option and, for those with high-performance devices or dedicated graphics support, the High quality option. Performance optimizations will continue into the future.

Together with our friends at Kuva, a Bristol-based creative agency, we’ve also grown the project to include events and exhibition pieces. These events – one of which was held this year in Bristol – have included a number of exhibitions that showcase different parts of the project, including virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR).

Using WebVR software, I built a VR experience based on the code for Symphony 2.0, which demonstrates the extensibility of the system. This will be exhibited at future events and, I hope, one day available for VR headsets at home.

What’s Next

We’re going on tour. We have the story, and now we need an audience. I’m also starting to build an Ethereum version using the same code base, which will feature explorable smart contracts, and, more networks after that. We know there are thousands of people out there who are only faintly familiar with blockchain technology and want to know more – and with Symphony 2.0, they’ll be able to cut through the confusion. A picture tells a thousand words, and an interactive audio-visual experience tells many more.

Symphony is a long-term project. It’s as much an adventure for us as our audience. We want to see how far we can take it – because blockchain technology is still developing, still growing, and the opportunity for education is only just beginning. The release of Symphony 2.0 marks a significant milestone for us, and we’re thrilled to be sharing it with you. There’s a lot of opportunity for Symphony, from optimizations and incorporation of other blockchains, to events and more ways to enjoy Symphony at home. So, stay tuned for more updates and, in the meantime, enjoy the world’s first interactive blockchain experience.
- Blog Post by Scott Darby, IOHK Creative Coder

Experience Symphony Web Now


Original BlogPost
submitted by Classic_Kevin_ETC to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Vitalik Keeps Saying It. A lot of others say it too. Let's Get Real. Crypto and Blockchain Has a Major Problem Problem We Need to Address Immediately. Here's How I Think We'll Do It.

Vitalik Keeps Saying It. A lot of others say it too. Let's Get Real. Crypto and Blockchain Has a Major Problem Problem We Need to Address Immediately. Here's How I Think We'll Do It.

Let's get real. [Vitalik talks about this constantly]. The cryptocurrency/blockchain community has a cultural problem.

Edit: Links here suck. I put quotes around them so you can spot them out. I did a lot of research for this post.
Edit #2: Put square brackets around links. Now they should be clearly visible.
TLDR: The ills Vitalik talks about are primarily about psychology. New scalable solutions can fix it partially, but we have to deal with people first.
Before I dig deep into this post, I want to let you know what it's about. Yes, you'll see some emotional content. You'll see ideological ideas. However, this post ain't about ideologies. It's about something I deem as a real problem. Its about the corrupt mindsets that we have as community since the prices spiked early 2017. To advance forward, I want to analyze them, distill the problem into the most basic form possible, then point people into a direction I deem would be good for the cryptocurrency community. The format will go like this:
  1. My history with Crypto/Blockchain. Why I'm here in the first place.
  2. My analysis of the problem Vitalik talked about
  3. My perceived solution to the problem.
  4. The steps I've already taken towards the problem

Why I'm Here

Time travel back into pre-2017 and you'll see that the cryptocurrency/blockchain community was filled with hopeful young nerds that dreamed of making the world into a better place; A much more open, peaceful and freer place. I was going through a hard time with my life 2015-16 -- my twin died, I was on the verge of going homeless with nobody else to rely on, had to go unbanked in America, almost entirely dropped out of college and my first contracting business failed. I couldn't get my life right at all, and I didn't see any hope. The future was bleak to me. However, I found people here in the blockchain community actually trying their hardest to do things that would solve the world's problems, [even if that was mainly reporting the news for people and addressing people live in chat to create a community]. That drew me in well before the price of cryptocurrencies spiked; almost in a manic like way -- I read about it constantly, practiced solidity, talked to everyone I could that would have the capacity to understand cryptocurrencies and more.
Even now, when I attend conferences, I meet good-hearted, sleep deprived developers, marketers, business owners and specialist that aim to solve the world's greatest problems in the best ways they can. Many are in small corners of the world helping each other out. Inside of this community I found hope and meaning. My depression lifted, my anxiety went away, my life got back on track, and that hope propels me though the field years since I joined this movement. I'm now more confident than ever knowing that collectively this industry will possibly be the epicenter of change for not only money, but for everything. We'll [eliminate poverty], [solve global warming], [prevent hyper-inflation like we've seen with Venezuela], [improve supply chains] around the world, improve healthcare, and solve the [social ills of the world like corruption]. That's just the tip of the iceberg. I believe intensely in the vision set for crypto.
The community is filled with brilliant people that will make a difference. That excites me.
I'm for freedom, boosting happiness of individuals, increasing health, making life more fun and less stressful for the common person, open discussions to progress everyone forward, and a more livable planet. I'm thinking of all people and I'm not against any group. However, I'm not for FUD, greed while abusing others, bigotry, trolling, hatred, racism, evil acts and stealing. Those are against my values. I think that's against the values of many of the cryptocurrency community's foundational members.

A problem we can't ignore

In 2017, as the prices exploded and the returns grew in for the average person, I noticed the community was starting to get tainted. People were no longer focusing on technology, freedom and community. No longer focusing on creating better lives for people in their communities around the world. We were missing the altruism I originally felt in the community. [If I were in Vitalik shoes, where I'd invest 80-100 hours a week into a vision, I'd feel extreme frustration too]. People are instead focusing on [needless politics], searching for the next big price pump, the next big score. Instead of people figuring out about how to use blockchain and crypto for making people's lives better, I've heard people say HODL and scam more than I ever have in the history of the community. This saddens me and frustrates me at the same time. On one end I see great potential and beauty in the community, and at the same time I see the beast within us come out that hasn't been even thought about deeply enough to be accurately tamed. Trolls, profiteers running away with ICO money, market manipulators and scam artist ruining the reputation and progress of the community.
While I could complain about what I see, I decided to instead dissect it in this post. I wanted to know what's causing this on a larger scale. See, by training I'm a psychologist, social scientist and computer scientist. I've been transitioning over to economics and data science because I feel it's a solid cornerstone of the industry. My perspective will be coming from those first. Allow me to explain. If our community is going to "grow up and actually solve problems", the corruption of minds because of money needs to be fully explored first.
Only by understanding the problem thoroughly can we solve it.
Explicitly stating the problem: Its the extreme predatory, egotistical, harsh behavior we as a community have adopted.

The Psychology And Behavioral Science Of Finance

Let's start with the biggest premise. Money is an idea. It exist because people communicate, produce, share, trade, have scarcity for goods and have needs. Money is an ideological binding agent for people.
  • It helps us exchange two irrelevant things with a medium
  • Helps us do more things in knowing the value we hold will help us improve productivity in the future
  • Helps us determine value in an abstract way
  • Helps us navigate the world.
Money is about as social and psychological as anything in the world can get outside of direct human interactions. Coincidentally, this psychological/social aspect isn't talked about very much inside of the cryptocurrency landscape. However, it's the foundation of everything we have here today. If we can't talk about how money is connected to the mind, we can't solve the maturity problem Vitalik was talking about. My intent is to explore that deeply so a firm direction can be at least set.

Money and the Mind

Our mind is complex. Beyond the usual processing of information people have (our 11 senses), we people have 2 primary centers for decision making and control.
Limbic System
The first one is the limbic system. It has gone by the nickname of "the lizard brain" in recent history. It's responsible for storing memories, handling stress responses, attention and emotional processing. In a sense, it controls all of intuition and fast heuristic choices you make.
https://preview.redd.it/xvpw95ate8d11.png?width=551&format=png&auto=webp&s=eeed7e25448614af346091f6ededac41be9df5b5
Prefrontal Cortex
The second system is known as the prefrontal cortex. It controls higher order functions such as planning, reasoning, serial processing and how we think about emotions.
https://preview.redd.it/if5p4n90f8d11.png?width=512&format=png&auto=webp&s=92ef641c4f583d38239cdf380d443b2b7557767e
These two centers are not mutually exclusive. You brain has circuits to make decisions about everything. The two parts talk to each other to do so. Any dysfunction in behavior is usually due to a lack of communication between these two decision centers, rather than a lack of communication between the centers of your brain. This is heavily seen in mental disorders. According to the book [Upward Spiral ], a book that looks at mental disorders from a neuroscientific view and explains how to reverse the ill effects of them, here's now some disorders can play out inside of our heads:
  1. Depression -- A poor link between the Anterior Cingular Cortex and PFC. It means you will notice more negative and therefore act on negative impulses and thoughts.
  2. Dissociation -- A poor link between the Anterior Cingular Cortex and Anterior Insular makes it so your attention can't be accurately directed towards yourself. There will likely be a poor understanding of pain and out of body experiences. It can be reversed with meditation and yoga.

How Crypto Fits

This should hopefully be the first question we have. It's easy to only pay attention to the ill behaviors of the more recent cryptocurrency industry and say "shame on you!". But what if people had a hard time actually controlling themselves? Inside of the book Upward Spiral, Alex Korb, the neuroscientist that wrote it explored that people with depression and anxiety had a hard time not being depressed and anxious by choice. Because the depressed person's circuitry is skewed, they act on it subconsciously in a forever perpetuating loop. In fact, the only way to reverse depression is to reverse the circuitry that holds it together.
Part of what makes anti-depressants more effective is that the serotonin improves sleep and makes a person's brain more susceptible to positive changes. That would be doing things like doing gratitude journals everyday to make your anterior cingular cortices notice more positive events, being around people who love you to boost your serotonin and cut down stress hormones, or getting a little exercise everyday to send oxygen to your brain.
So that leads us back to the original question. What if people didn't have a fully conscious control over how they acted about money and crypto? I did some research between many different articles and found that this was absolutely the case. People don't have much control. They tend to be on extremes of some end all the time.
How Does Finance Play With The Brain?
Of the many ways, there's one key way it does. Money plays with people through the the hypothalamus stress response. It charges people into fight or flight mode, and can literally destabilize the homeostatic systems. This can do all sorts of things. It can make the anterior cingulate weaker in strength (known to help us control emotions and learn), and therefore reduce the power of our prefrontal cortex. When people are stressed about finance, or even excited about it, it will put people into extreme states. [Meaning the lizard brain takes the show]. That can make people easily make haphazard decisions.
Of course, there's other things that happen with the introduction of more money, but that IS the most intense thing to take note of.
If we want to solve the problem of relinquishing poor community, like Vitalik continuously makes comments about, we need to look at the problem in this way. If we don't see it this way, we're screwed. The problem wont be solved, companies like Microsoft will continuously kill off their implementations due to price fluctuations, the cryptocurrency community wont pass go and wont make a huge impact. Instead we'll blame, shout at each other, and create another Wall Street 2.0. In fact, we'll become worse than them. We will have more leverage over resources than any other group in history and the corruption will be strong.
Money affects decisions, period.

Solving the Cultural problem

I'm nervous. As I type this response, I know that by revealing my idea to the public I could be condemned by the community for "shilling", and even worse, somebody else can pick it up and run with it. That is the most nerve wreaking thing I could ever consider. Months of 80 hour weeks and extreme sacrifices to bring out a vision because I didn't see much of a choice. If we don't remove what limits us soon as a community we will get engulfed by outsiders that don't want to create virtuous society.
My solution: Algorithmic Trading
Now, before you tell me that the market is entirely unpredictable, I'd like to be one to say that the notion is false. We see everywhere that people using AI and more complex forms of math to be able to make reasonable gains in the financial world. Companies like Bridgewater predicted the financial crash of 2008 with reasonable accuracy, and other people like [mathematicians are able to do the same]. Realistically, the market has some degree of predictability. However, much of the access to that is limited.
Even beyond that, the financial industry is one of the only social fields that is highly transparent to many actors, through the news and price information, and reflects ideas and beliefs through the markets. If we can better analyze markets, we could discover all sorts of social phenomenon that previously made no sense. With algorithmic trading we're heavily incentivized to learn, as that will produce a direct outcome of earning money.
We could better solve the social ills of the world quickly and efficiently over time. On top of that, we will be able to stabilize the market and protect against bad agents if algorithmic trading becomes coordinated and effective enough throughout the industry.
Again, How Does it Fit With Cryptocurrency?
Bitconnect could answer how automated trading fits.
Before I continue, let me be clear. People lost their money through that scam. It was awful. I know some people that had a lot of money taken from them. Many of them are now fearful of cryptocurrency.
However, I don't think Bitconnect was 100% wrong with their idea. Yes they were a ponzi scheme, yet realistically many of the people I met that fell for it felt as though the crypto markets were already complex. They were losing money while HODLing, making rash decisions and trading.
Bitcoin and the entire industry carries too much of a cognitive burden for a person to keep track of beyond their normal everyday life. News, prices, scams, hacks and technical information. That's a lot to keep track of if you have 3-4 part-time jobs as a single mom or dad while raising 2 kids. That's a lot to keep track of if you're old and don't have the technical capacity to read into the crypto markets all day everyday.
Therefore, even while people were making less money from investing into Bitconnect, on paper it required less thinking and they were still getting benefits that they cared about. They could share with friends because they thought that there money would not shrink in value heavily due to a random market crash. As a consumer, it isn't wrong to believe that you can be apart of something big without having to work an extra 5 hours everyday reading blogs and watching youtube videos just to keep up with the happenings of the industry.
It doesn't require us to be judging people for falling into a ponzi scheme. It requires a bit of caring and empathy to see people's main intentions. They want a better life compared to the one that has been crushing them with student debt and poor job prospects. People want to have a better life without being as stressed beyond belief like they currently are.
And for the everyday trader, giving them the incentive they seek, while giving them the capacity to do some research for themselves is important. Choice matters a lot for some people.

Steps I've taken towards this:

Here comes the shill part you've been waiting for. Over the last year I've been building an application that would help us solve the problems we face today as a community. It I'll reduce the stress response of people worrying more about money, with technology like it getting standardized throughout the entire industry, it'll make things a lot more stable. It's an automated AI-based trading platform that aims to make reduce the cognitive load and worry about holding your funds in crypto. The aim of it is to dynamically trade for people while also letting them have 100% control over their funds. For now, that's by using exchange API keys. Though in the future, that can be through decentralized exchanges, meaning no middle man.
My product's name: It's [Funguana.com]. [Internally meaning the interconnection of all Dhrama in the Huayan Buddhist religion].
I've already received controversial reviews, and feel crazy for putting it back out there. However, I'm now confident I can follow through, and maybe by explaining my reasoning behind why I built it the community will respond differently this time.
To make it more trust-able, 4 months after public release, if my resources allow me to, I plan to open source the infrastructure code so people can implement their own platform within a matter of weeks, then systemically open many of the algorithms so they can appropriate powerful algorithms together over time (many not based on AI). I have to be strategic though. If I open it too soon, too many bad actors can enter the space and cause havoc early, without much chance to keep them in check.
Edit: I made changes to the page to make the links more obvious. Now they're in bold and italic
Edit 2: Adding quotes to make links more obvious again.
submitted by kivo360 to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Bitcoin as gold in a time of economic experimentation and geo-political tension

Boss Crypto Letter To Investors #5 - August
Note: Research data compiled from blockchain.info, coinmetrics and unchainedcapital.
Bitcoin As Gold
The narrative around Bitcoin as “digital gold” or “gold 2.0” has been strengthening in recent months and we have even seen Bitcoin slip into a strong inverse correlation to US stocks. For us, this is not a new story and the potential for Bitcoin to shine in this arena is something we have been propagating for years. The topic is hotly debated given the potential diversification benefits that exposure to Bitcoin has in portfolio construction. There are certain times when Bitcoin trades in line with risk assets, selling off when equity volatility spikes and when liquidity runs dry, however it has little to no correlation with traditional asset classes like commodities, bonds, currencies, or stocks.
The world unfolding around us is brewing the perfect storm that most perma Bitcoin bulls have been waiting for since the beginning. Bitcoin has only ever existed in a global bull-market and perhaps for the first time in 10 years that might be about to change. Amid extreme monetary policies and rising geopolitical tensions the narrative for Bitcoin as digital gold has scarcely been stronger. Combine this with the fact that investors are starving for growth and unable to hit their benchmarks with traditional portfolio’s the comparison between the current Bitcoin market cap and the market cap for investible gold becomes an enticing proposition. The best part? A comparison to gold might not even be the end of the road for Bitcoin. Right now there are almost no assets that largely sit outside the purview of any single government. If we see the political tensions in our world rise and the ability of these governments to service their debts comes into question the demand for non-sovereign assets is likely to boom.
The rising risk of currency devaluation, especially among reserve currencies, combined with its non sovereign nature is a longer-term catalyst that may propel BTC to new untold heights. The opportunity cost of not holding Bitcoin is getting higher every day as the long-term outlook for traditional asset classes and growth continues in a downward spiral.
Late In The Cycle
In this edition I wanted to take a step back to look at the global macro economic environment. I believe that we are entering an era where the understanding of economics and appropriate investment principles will be imperative for success. As of July we have now officially seen the longest period of sustained growth in history and it’s getting late (perhaps very late) in that cycle.
-Bleak global growth projections -Trade wars -Weak inflation -$14 trillion of negative yielding debt -Unprecedented monetary policies -Late in the cycle stimulus -Declining corporate profits -Stocks rallying into the promise of rate cuts and additional stimulus -Explosion of low quality credit -Explosion of IPO’s showing just as explosive losses
The global slowdown everyone has been fearing is starting to show up in economic data. With short term interest rates already low economic stimulus measures may need to be more extreme to be effective. The central banks of our world are preparing the global market for more rate cuts and additional stimulus as they attempt to prolong the current economic expansion, seemingly “forever”. The implication of economic policies favouring growth (including the forecast for multiple rate cuts by the end of 2019) are already impacting market prices and portfolio structure.
As we have talked about many times in previous letters, investors are being pushed further and further out on the risk curve in their search for a return high enough to satisfy their benchmarks. With government debt yields, fixed income and traditional value assets underperforming the focus has shifted to growth assets throwing support behind Bitcoin for the time being. Money Supply and Risk Assets Monetary policy plays a significant role in markets. When there is an increase in the money supply there tends to be a strong performance in risk assets while at the same time pushing investors further out the risk curve as they compete for the best returns. Lower rates and more relaxed monetary policy not only encourages borrowing (creating a surplus of money) it also forces investors to change the way they invest because it damages the potential returns from traditionally safe assets.
It is speculated that the Fed will keep the door open for further rate cuts by the end of 2019, but be careful when analysing how much of this has already been priced into the markets, including Bitcoin. Generally speaking investors are willing to pay higher multiples when the other alternatives available to them are unattractive.
Right now bond yields across the board from sovereign to corporate debt are very unattractive which has pushed investors towards equities.
Analysis The almost illogically high concentration of Bitcoin and high-caps in our portfolio has continued to bring in immense rewards over the past few months. There were only 12 projects with a market capitalization over $15 million which outperformed Bitcoin year-to-date. UTXO Analysis When looking at the base of Bitcoin holders compared to our previous reports not much has changed in the last three months. Holders in the 3-5 year bands have decreased however the reason for the decrease is not from selling, it is because they have been moved into the 5+ year bands which is sitting around all time highs at 21.5% of total Bitcoin supply. ​ The only longer dated band with a noticeable amount of sellers was the 1-2 year band where sellers accounted for about half of the 1.8% decline in that band, and a shift into the 2-3 year band representing the other half. By far the largest amount of selling during the recent rally can be found in the youngest bands. Holders in the 3-6 month band and 6-12 month band respectively. The 3-6 month band has come down from down from 10.2% to 6.8% with selling accounting for the majority of the drop.
Liquid Supply ​ (Defined as coins that have moved in the last 90 days)
The majority of this liquid supply is continuing to come from short term UTXO’s (traders). When compared to the previous cycle bottom we can see a very similar pattern emerge.
Around July 2015 the liquid supply began to increase as trading activity began to draw in speculators again. During this same period long term holders remained unphased. This type of movement is correlated with a rise in volatility as trading volumes begin to influence the velocity of price. From a cyclical perspective it is likely that volatility is peaking now. If that proves to be true it is likely that the liquid supply will again decrease over the coming months.
It wasn’t until then 2017 bull run that long term holders started to contribute to the increased liquid supply, so without large increases or decreases in price I feel it is unlikely that long term holders will be drawn into trading and the current cycle of holding will dominate.
Conclusion
One thing that I would like for you to remember here is that despite the potentially favorable economic environment for Bitcoin it is very important to note the following: In the face of any serious economic downturn, market crash or correction there will be a shortage of credit and a shortage of liquidity. This forces investors to sell off assets as they scramble for cash and risk assets are often sold off first. When investors need cash, they may need to sell their Bitcoin, no matter how badly they “wish” to hold it. A prudent Bitcoin investor will understand that Bitcoin is still an asset and has not yet proven itself in serious crisis as a miracle hedge, or even as a viable digital gold.
. . .
Taken from the Boss Crypto VIP Newsletter at: https://bosscrypto.co/
submitted by BawsCole to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

IOHK Introduces Symphony 2.0: The First Immersive, 3D Blockchain Explorer - Soon to explore the Ethereum galaxy

IOHK Introduces Symphony 2.0: The First Immersive, 3D Blockchain Explorer - Soon to explore the Ethereum galaxy

https://preview.redd.it/1xs77ot4oi931.jpg?width=4000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cf0a165f8cb0cdf59bbe82719bec17c2b1cb51b4
The Symphony project began with a question: how do we represent blockchain technology in a way that is stimulating, entertaining, and audio-visually engaging for a wider audience, technical and non-technical. In other words, how do we explain the abstract and give form to the formless.

It’s been over a year since we answered that question, and we’re still working to make Symphony the most interactive and immersive blockchain experience available. What began as a way to visualize the blockchain has evolved into a way to experience the blockchain: an immersive journey accessible through your device’s browser.

The result is Symphony 2.0: a 3D explorer through which anyone can traverse the topographic history of the Bitcoin blockchain, from the first transaction to the most recent. Compared with the first version, Symphony 2.0 goes deeper in every way. It drills down into transaction data to create a live soundscape – each block has its own unique audio signature – using data-driven sound synthesis. It looks like this:


This is what it looks like to soar over a blockchain network

How it Works

As you can imagine, giving feeling to data isn’t easy. Creating a sound for each block was how I wanted to represent the uniqueness and permanence of the blockchain: once added, a block is there forever, making that same sound, containing those same transactions.

I used a technique called additive synthesis to generate sound on the fly, and utilized the parallel nature of graphics cards to synthesize a unique sound for each of the thousands of transactions that can make up a block. The sound signature that plays when you visit a block consists of each transaction producing eight sine waves (a fundamental pitch and seven harmonics). The fundamental pitch is determined by the transaction value, and the amount of randomness added to the harmonics partials is controlled by the fee-to-value ratio of the transaction.

https://preview.redd.it/skrrufr8oi931.png?width=1114&format=png&auto=webp&s=3509ca44536e105901d813a0b130b78fb0aa6e45

Design Philosophy

With Symphony 2.0, the blockchain’s mempool – which stores unconfirmed transactions – is visualized as a gravitational swell, around which confirmed transactions spiral in concentric rings. Think of Saturn’s rings but, instead of particles of ice and rock, we have transactions, continuously adding to the size of the rings as they extend outwards. Then, undergirding each block are Merkle trees represented, unsurprisingly, as trees.

https://preview.redd.it/mzfdn4caoi931.png?width=1120&format=png&auto=webp&s=a5cc0418c1acc73eab7b6f69876f609d71343c8f
On top of each block, confirmed transactions are visualized as 3D hexagons. Their height corresponds to the transaction volume, and their width (note the rotund individuals to the right of the image above) corresponds to the health of the block. The result is an unprecedented imagining of the blockchain, with its representative parts synced and manifest, explorable block-by-block or through a flight-simulator mode.

Ways to Experience Symphony

Symphony 2.0 is now live It can be accessed using any modern web browser, but is best experienced in Google Chrome. For laptop and mobile device users, it’s advised to select the Medium quality option and, for those with high-performance devices or dedicated graphics support, the High quality option. Performance optimizations will continue into the future.

Together with our friends at Kuva, a Bristol-based creative agency, we’ve also grown the project to include events and exhibition pieces. These events – one of which was held this year in Bristol – have included a number of exhibitions that showcase different parts of the project, including virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR).

Using WebVR software, I built a VR experience based on the code for Symphony 2.0, which demonstrates the extensibility of the system. This will be exhibited at future events and, I hope, one day available for VR headsets at home.

What’s Next

We’re going on tour. We have the story, and now we need an audience. I’m also starting to build an Ethereum version using the same code base, which will feature explorable smart contracts, and, after that, Cardano. We know there are thousands of people out there who are only faintly familiar with blockchain technology and want to know more – and with Symphony 2.0, they’ll be able to cut through the confusion. A picture tells a thousand words, and an interactive audio-visual experience tells many more.

Symphony is a long-term project. It’s as much an adventure for us as our audience. We want to see how far we can take it – because blockchain technology is still developing, still growing, and the opportunity for education is only just beginning. The release of Symphony 2.0 marks a significant milestone for us, and we’re thrilled to be sharing it with you. There’s a lot of opportunity for Symphony, from optimizations and incorporation of other blockchains, to events and more ways to enjoy Symphony at home. So, stay tuned for more updates and, in the meantime, enjoy the world’s first interactive blockchain experience.
- Blog Post by Scott Darby, IOHK Creative Coder

Experience Symphony Web Now


https://iohk.io/blog/announcing-the-release-of-symphony-2/
submitted by Classic_Kevin_ETC to ethereum [link] [comments]

Take Flight Over Blockchains | IOHK Unveils Symphony 2.0: The first of its kind, 3D immersive blockchain explorer!

Take Flight Over Blockchains | IOHK Unveils Symphony 2.0: The first of its kind, 3D immersive blockchain explorer!

https://preview.redd.it/3u18tbqgrp931.jpg?width=4000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=39ca91de84bcdcefb6e3b66d712b77674e4f373f
The Symphony project began with a question: how do we represent blockchain technology in a way that is stimulating, entertaining, and audio-visually engaging for a wider audience, technical and non-technical. In other words, how do we explain the abstract and give form to the formless.

It’s been over a year since we answered that question, and we’re still working to make Symphony the most interactive and immersive blockchain experience available. What began as a way to visualize the blockchain has evolved into a way to experience the blockchain: an immersive journey accessible through your device’s browser.

The result is Symphony 2.0: a 3D explorer through which anyone can traverse the topographic history of the Bitcoin blockchain, from the first transaction to the most recent. Compared with the first version, Symphony 2.0 goes deeper in every way. It drills down into transaction data to create a live soundscape – each block has its own unique audio signature – using data-driven sound synthesis. It looks like this:


https://reddit.com/link/cbyz8j/video/gkqoy7sjrp931/player

How it Works

As you can imagine, giving feeling to data isn’t easy. Creating a sound for each block was how I wanted to represent the uniqueness and permanence of the blockchain: once added, a block is there forever, making that same sound, containing those same transactions.

I used a technique called additive synthesis to generate sound on the fly, and utilized the parallel nature of graphics cards to synthesize a unique sound for each of the thousands of transactions that can make up a block. The sound signature that plays when you visit a block consists of each transaction producing eight sine waves (a fundamental pitch and seven harmonics). The fundamental pitch is determined by the transaction value, and the amount of randomness added to the harmonics partials is controlled by the fee-to-value ratio of the transaction.

https://preview.redd.it/2ut0us7orp931.png?width=1114&format=png&auto=webp&s=7662c26bfb1a2f9f421994569da12985bab9ae38

Design Philosophy

With Symphony 2.0, the blockchain’s mempool – which stores unconfirmed transactions – is visualized as a gravitational swell, around which confirmed transactions spiral in concentric rings. Think of Saturn’s rings but, instead of particles of ice and rock, we have transactions, continuously adding to the size of the rings as they extend outwards. Then, undergirding each block are Merkle trees represented, unsurprisingly, as trees.

https://preview.redd.it/z8v6fdoqrp931.png?width=1120&format=png&auto=webp&s=217b8b6ca4f14ae6d529a8c29a508ec6667d213f
On top of each block, confirmed transactions are visualized as 3D hexagons. Their height corresponds to the transaction volume, and their width (note the rotund individuals to the right of the image above) corresponds to the health of the block. The result is an unprecedented imagining of the blockchain, with its representative parts synced and manifest, explorable block-by-block or through a flight-simulator mode.

Ways to Experience Symphony

Symphony 2.0 is now live It can be accessed using any modern web browser, but is best experienced in Google Chrome. For laptop and mobile device users, it’s advised to select the Medium quality option and, for those with high-performance devices or dedicated graphics support, the High quality option. Performance optimizations will continue into the future.

Together with our friends at Kuva, a Bristol-based creative agency, we’ve also grown the project to include events and exhibition pieces. These events – one of which was held this year in Bristol – have included a number of exhibitions that showcase different parts of the project, including virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR).

Using WebVR software, I built a VR experience based on the code for Symphony 2.0, which demonstrates the extensibility of the system. This will be exhibited at future events and, I hope, one day available for VR headsets at home.

What’s Next

We’re going on tour. We have the story, and now we need an audience. I’m also starting to build an Ethereum version using the same code base, which will feature explorable smart contracts, and, more networks, such as Cardano and others, after that. We know there are thousands of people out there who are only faintly familiar with blockchain technology and want to know more – and with Symphony 2.0, they’ll be able to cut through the confusion. A picture tells a thousand words, and an interactive audio-visual experience tells many more.

Symphony is a long-term project. It’s as much an adventure for us as our audience. We want to see how far we can take it – because blockchain technology is still developing, still growing, and the opportunity for education is only just beginning. The release of Symphony 2.0 marks a significant milestone for us, and we’re thrilled to be sharing it with you. There’s a lot of opportunity for Symphony, from optimizations and incorporation of other blockchains, to events and more ways to enjoy Symphony at home. So, stay tuned for more updates and, in the meantime, enjoy the world’s first interactive blockchain experience.
- Blog Post by Scott Darby, IOHK Creative Coder

Experience Symphony Web Now


Original BlogPost
submitted by Classic_Kevin_ETC to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

An Idea to save ASM


An idea to save ASM: A path forward

📷
This is long.
(Part 1 is detailing the problems, Part 2 is ideas for the solution)
(please keep in mind I may edit this, as I may not have time to completely finish it in one sitting)
An Idea to Save ASM : A Path Forward
Greetings ASM investors. I know that these are dark times. Lots of negativity is present, and people are down on this company and down on the team, and down on Chris. To be clear, there is pretty good reason be negative and down at the moment. Your money is locked up, there is zero liquidity, you cannot withdraw, I don't think you can make deposits, there is some trouble with pay pal and other vendors who are needed to buy into the market, the stock is still worth nothing, and trade activity is quite low. In addition, there is only more trouble lying ahead, as we have seen with the disastrous results of MLB leaving the IPO phase. The other sports (if anyone even buys them) will have to leave the IPO phase as well...and then the same thing will happen to them..zero activity. ASM's fundamental way of generating revenue is activity. We need trades. The current forces in the market at present are making it such that it discourages trades and makes trading less desirable and more difficult. Why would we ever do this? what we need to do is create a situation where trading is easy, and traders are more active.
The other elephant in the room is money. It doesn't appear ASM has the money in secure accounts to pay people who want to close their accounts or cash out etc...The big sales pitch was that "once ASM takes off" the trade activity will go up, and the accounts will be funded, and we would be able to 1) cash out and also 2) the company stock would then be worth something more than zero. This has not happened. The big pitch was that regulation must happen first , and then we can really grow our user base and get more activity. This is backwards. We need to grow the user base FIRST. The only way to do that is by correcting the failed market and making it functional and active. I have some ideas that I think would work, or at the very least be a TRY to fix this company. If you agree that activity and trading MUST be the number one focus of the market please read on. If you do not agree that activity and trade volume should be our number one priority , my guess is you don't fully understand how ASM gets it's revenue...but if you do disagree, please make a post as to why this should not be the single most important goal (increasing trade volume).
Part 1: Current Problems that have led to a Failed Market
  1. Unfunded accounts
  2. Too much margin (with nothing backing it)
  3. Margin that has no expiration
  4. Margin that bears no interest
  5. No mechanism to pay off margin
  6. "No reason" to ever pay off margin (short term thinking)
  7. Lack of trade volume
  8. Technical problems
  9. professionalism / politcs
I will go through each item one at a time. PLEASE , if you would like to discuss an issue refer to the number in your post and I can make edits or add items..I am sure I have missed some things, but my intention is to add things as people think of them and keep this as a reference in case Chris or any of the ASM folks would like to look at it.
  1. Unfunded Accounts
This one is possible the biggest issue of all. It is one that most people haven't directly talked about but I believe it has caused us many problems. For example StartEngine or any other investor or group is going to ask "where is all of the money" the very first question they ask. If you get "bonus margin" and then make $10,000 with it....of profit..where is that money? Where is the profit? In my eyes it is a huge red flag that there isnt an account with the funds in it. This simply has to change. When someone makes a deposit they need to feel their funds are secure. When someone wants to close out an account, they need to be able to. If you cant fund the account, then DONT GIVE AWAY BONUS MARGIN. If we do some type of market reset, we need to keep the account 100% funded and we need to NEVER freeze people's accounts..we need to allow them to cash out and leave when they want. If giving bonus margin makes this too hard, then do not give even one cent of margin until such time as the ASM fund has enough money in it to pay everyone out. Period. It is unacceptable to have the account underfunded. If the market cap of the 'real' market is 100M and 98M is margin...where is the 2M of 'real' money? It needed to be there. We cant continue this.
2) Too much margin
There is too much margin in the market. This leads to all of the other problems and is a spiraling death cycle. This ios an existential threat to ASM. We can't pay out people who want to cash out. That means there was too much margin. The prices are inflated, and 40$ for Dodgers or even 15$ for the Rams is too much. NFL hasnt even left the IPO stage yet, so when it does the ROI will drop to the floor. The prices are artificial....the margin has pumped up the market because you cant take your money out and there is no 'penalty' for keeping margin....so you get an influx of money with no downward pressure to balance it. A market cannot function like this. ASM is proof of this, as we watch the pilot market fail. There is simply too much margin in the system. I am not sure but I believe the pilot market has a cap of something like $100M and of that, like $98M is margin. WIth nothing backing it. No one is going to be able to get that regulated. A margin , in the simplest terms is a LOAN. If you don't have the money, Chris, YOU CANT LOAN IT OUT. Period. Stop loaning people margin money that we do not have.
3) No expiration on margin
Margin is a loan. First of all loans have terms...We should have terms if we are going to loan people margin. As I said clearly in #2, we shouldnt even loan people money unless we have the money to loan them....thats simple...but #3 is all about terms. We can't loan people money with no expiration date...that just lasts forever. That leads to a situation as described in #2...TOO MUCH MARGIN. If the margin never goes away, and you keep giving more out, you end up where we are. In the future, we need to only loan margin that we have funded, and also have terms on it like expiration or other terms so that we do not build up a market with way too much margin and not enough real money.
4) No interest on margin
This could go in with #3 but again, margin terms. We are getting right now a one time 1% 'fee' for margin. So if you give $100 , you get 10k in margin. That is 1% in case you don;t have a calculator. Not 1% a year. Not 1% a month. A flat 1% one time fee. That's not enough for the risk. Obviously. we can't loan people margin we don't have. We cant let them have it forever, at no cost. And if we are going to risk loaning people margin, we can't do it for a 1% one time fee. It should be a reasonable interest rate with some reasonable pay back terms. Otherwise, if we don't we lead to unfunded accounts and too much margin. All of these problems feed into each other.
5) We do not have a way for people to pay back their margin
After years, there's still no button to pay back the margin or check your current margin balance. This is unacceptable as it is obviously in EVERYONE'S best interest to remove margin from the system so there isn't too much. Why on earth we didn't have this in there from the start is totally beyond me. But this needs to happen yesterday. Without a way to , you know, pay off margin....we can't correct the failed market/
6) No 'reason' to pay off margin
This is touched on in #3 and #4 but right now , on the surface there isn't a 'reason' anyone thinks they need to pay off their margin. But look deeper. The market is failing, the company is failing. Thats a pretty good reason to pay off margin...but guess what? Most people won;t pay it off even if they know it is in the best interest of the company because there is no external force motivating them to pay it off. I would have paid my margin off already of there was a method to do it. Some other people would as well, for sure. But many people won't. We have to make terms forcing people to pay it off, or it won't happen. #3 and #4 are pretty good reasons, and probably enough motivation for people to pay it off. So, if we are able to reset the market, we need to have some terms that force people to pay their margin off.
7) Lack of trade volume
All of these previous problems lead to only one thing. Less trading. Sure, there is an initial flurry of trades when someone buys margin, because they have to spend the margin but then what? Think about the percentages. Every time someone buys margin , and puts money in the market...the sports prices go higher. You are pricing out EVERY customer who doesn't buy margin. people who buy margin should be a vast MINORITY of the investors. We have this flipped around backwards. We need people to be able to come in on a saturday and buy some shares of their favorite football team, and then cash back out whenever they want, maybe even monday morning. We have to have easy payment methods for people. We have to have an easy Android phone app..we must make it as easy as possible for people to get in and out of the market. We have to have money in a bank account to pay people when they want to cash out. I put this toward the end , but the #1 most important goal we should have is to correct this problem. All decisions we make should be based on increasing activity level and trade volume (long term). Period.
8) Technical issues
I'm not going to comment too much on this but sports share prices not updating, Chris' decision to delete the forum, lack progress / updates to the android app & website etc..are all issues. Maybe not as important as the other ones, but should be mentioned out of completeness.
9) Professionalism / company branding / political & irrelevant rants
I don't think our CEO should be debating politics on LinkedIN or on our own forums. Period. The rants make him look unstable or obsessed , and possibly turn off 50% of our potential customers or investors. Why would we shut down our forums but then keep rambling about politics and bitcoin on them? Chris just needs to keep his mouth shut about current events and politics and focus on ASM. No one cares what his opnion is about Trump. This country is divided enough...let ASM and Sports be something that unites people.
Part 2: Solution
Ok I tried to lay out the problems as I see them, I am running out of time at my desk..but I think it is really important to lay out what I think is maybe not THE only solution but I honestly think something like this will have to be what the solution will look like....at least parts of it.
If youre still with me here...and you agree with most of the problems I have laid out above....then kudos to you. I didnt intend this to be so long but here we are.
If you have read what I wrote, you will notice that unfunded accounts and too much margin are pretty important to me. We simply have to correct this...and I started thinking about how to do that a long time ago. Its probably not going to come as a surprise that I think a pilot market reset is the only/best way to do this. Many people have been talking about this for a while, so let me repeat that:
A pilot market reset is the way forward.
We have to admit that the pilot market is a failure, and only then can we take the next logical step of trying to do a fair and full reset
This by itself isnt my "new" idea, but I have been struggling to think of exactly what that would look like, and I have a rough sketch or road map, that I would like to present. It is by no means complete..and we will all need to work on this together if we want ASM to survive. Here is my 'roadmap' to saving ASM:
Just to be very clear, this will take a while...It took two years to mess it up this bad, its not going to be an overnight fix to clear all of this margin off the books...BUT the faster we do this, the faster ASM can get some growth in traders/trading and get some revenue coming in.
Roadmap To Saving ASM - A fair and full market reset
  1. Stop selling margin immediately
  2. Create a mechanism to pay off existing margin
  3. Give a firm deadline to pay off margin, by selling shares of sports teams or making trades / dividends
  4. Once the deadline is passed, come up with a method to clear the margin from accounts who failed to meet the deadline.****
  5. #4 above is the most difficult part of this, there is another way I am working on. yes this will be hard and people won't like it. I will post more later on #4 and 5
  6. Once everyone's margin account is at zero, announce the date of the Market reset to give people time to make some last trades or collect more shares of teams they want by trading.
  7. As the trade deadline date approaches, all traders must fully spend all of the 'cash' in their accounts by buying shares of teams.
  8. At the reset deadline, freeze all trading.
  9. Completely reset the 4 markets (mlb, NFL, NBA, NHL). This means placing all shares back in their original IPO state.
  10. Reset the prices (value) of the team stocks to either $0.00 or $0.01 (they are indeed worthless, currently)
  11. Issue , share for share, any holdings that an investor had back to him with the value of $0.00 or $0.01....for example...If Golman had 100 shares in every team, issue him 100 shares of every team at the new value of a penny or 0.00.
  12. Never again issue any margin, unless we have the funds to back it and the mechanism in place to collect interest and have terms that benefit ASM in the long run.
  13. From this new moment onward, never again lock accounts out from being able to cash out if they desire.
  14. Re-Open the forums and delete all of the political garbage. People need a place to talk and it should be our own forum.
  15. Promise and be held accountable that any deposit made is as secure as any other investment, and keep the money in an account that is SEPARATE from ASM's share...and will always be there to let people withdraw as needed.
  16. Come up with other means of revenue / income other than selling margin ** difficult ** Ideas needed
  17. Let people buy in with real money, immediately after the reset is complete...and begin trading, and let them cash out if they want. Let the free market WORK god dammit. immediately.
  18. Chris should p;romise to keep personal / political / divisive ramblings off of the forums..perhaps NO ONE should be allowed to talk religion or politics etc..on our new forums.
  19. Stop talking about making a 'new' market apart from the 'pilot market with roller hockey. Just admit the pilot market has failed and do a reset
I have run out of time, so I cannot elaborate any more today on all of this. But I am going to edit my post maybe by Thursday, and explain more in detail how this would work. This, or something like this is most likely the only way we can BOTH reset the market and still reward the current group of investors.
The way I see it working, the sports shares are worth nothing right now because of all of the margin and lack of being able to cash out. So we reset the market, make the value start at $0.00, or a penny. Then, if people want to buy or sell THEY CAN, and people want to cash out they will. I can guarantee if we just let the market work , the prices will start going up again and more trades will happen.
This could be huge, and marketed as a re-grand opening type of event. I don;t see many other solutions, and I have thought about it a lot.
Thank you for reading this and of course comments and corrections are welcomed if I have made errors. I am sure I have made a lot of errors and I look forward to discussing this with you guys.
submitted by 707NorCaL707 to ASMEunfiltered [link] [comments]

Why the fee market has to die.

Satoshi had it right from the start.
The whole idea in the creation of bitcoin was to deploy a system for super cheap, peer to peer cash to replace dishonest fiat money.
Many very important trade-offs were considered.
The way Satoshi designed the system was by balancing many very small details of the system. The balance was so perfect that bitcoin was born and people started to use it.
The idea was to have a block reward, for many reasons, but one reason was to artificially motivate the miners in the beginning to mine the coins. It paid in bitcoin that had zero value at first, but once work was added to the network the value of that work started to become "on chain" as miners had a higher than zero perceived value. They didn't want to sell their coins for nothing when they worked to mine them.
This is how bitcoin got value, someone worked and perceived the value of the coin as the value of the work they did to mine that coin.
Satoshi was smart and got the balance right. The market proves this because the asset as it sprang to life. That was a miracle and proof that the balance was right.
That was the hard part and that is proof Satoshi had the correct balance.
Satoshi had a plan, and the plan was super simple.
Pay the miners in the beginning with block rewards to mine while the mass adoption is under way. Once mass adoption happens even a 1 satoshi fee per transaction would be enough to pay the miners.
What is mass adoption?? In Satoshi's vision mass adoption was when we got all the banked and some of the unbanked on board, and the unbanked were starting to really reap the benefit. Let’s say 50% of the world using bitcoin every day. At some point in time when billions of people are using bitcoin everyday is when Satoshi figured the balance where the fee market could replace the block reward.
if 5 billion people paid 1 satoshi each you would have 50 bitcoins worth of rewards per day. If bitcoin had a value of say 20,000 this would be a million dollars per day of (edit...Fee Rewards) rewards.
The timing for fees to replace block rewards was way in the future after the block rewards were slowing way down and when mass adoption had happened. (when the block reward was under 1 bitcoin)
To have a fee market now is proof the developers have been captured by the (edit...miners) and the banks who want bitcoin to die. (by captured I mean regulatory capture) (when the regulated body no longer has to worry about the balance of power of the regulator due to blackmail etc)
Satoshi did not have a block size limit in this vision, but later one was created. This tiny change offset the balance of power.
The so called "temporary" block size limit was put in place as a safe guard, but now this tiny little change has created a bitcoin that can't scale. ( no one created it on purpose, but it created fertile ground for the fee market to spring to life prematurely)
Worse is that miners have been making a lot of money, this profit came from the fact that most people didn't understand this tiny change to the balance of power, and didn't care. These profitable miners now have huge money, and with money comes power and influence.
They align naturally with big banks who want to end bitcoin's low fee transactions.
This fee market is not within the natural growth intended for bitcoin. ( edit..not satoshi's plan)
The problem is that the miners can't help but go full retard on the fee market even if it means they end up all loosing. They have bills to pay. (edit.....they are all in)
The developers could change the protocol back to how it was in the beginning with no block reward, this would kill the fee market until the timing is right, but the devs are under the thumbs of the banks who either want a fee market or want bitcoin to die and also the miners who threaten to revolt.
It doesn’t matter how well intentioned the Devs are, this is an epic fail.
The devs could just increase block size, and they know they should, but they don’t have the balls to kill the fee market, so they compromise rather than fix the problem. (they put the baby on life support rather than watch it die)
A problem that is not fixed is still a problem. The problem is the fee market, and if you look at the mempool you will see it alive and well. As long as fees are high you know who is winning the battle for the hearts and minds of the developers and it isn’t us the user.
Miners enter a death spiral because the timing is not right.
Miners are doing exactly what Satoshi knew they would do, they are just doing it about 7 years to early.
Due to a tiny change in the way Bitcoin balances things, the fee market sprang to life to early. The fee market, now that it is alive will defend itself. To the Death.
The fee market was supposed to come to life when fees of 1 or 2 satoshis times a much wider adoption meant that the fees generated per bock were bigger than the block reward. This was guaranteed to happen eventually due to the halving of the block reward. If the adoption went quickly then the fee market would come to life sooner, if the adoption went slowly it would come to life later, but at some point the fee market would spring to life based on how wide the adoption was and how fast it was. The curve of the block reward reduction guaranteed that the fee market would come to life only when adoption was high enough to create enough transactions to make the fee market profitable.
(edit......you see that the adoption is not wide enough yet to have this fee market)
The fee market was born way to early, and now that It’s alive it has rights, and a voice, and just like any other system that knows it’s going to die, it wants to live as long as it can.
The fee market will die because it’s premature. We put it on life support and are now bleeding value from the coin it self into the miners fees to keep it alive. This transfusion of wealth will end when the coin has no more value or the miners choose to let go. It ends badly for the coin, the miners can move to the next coin, but the coin they are attached to now will have to die. They are like a tumor that is slowly becoming larger than the person they are growing on. Sooner or later the tumor will consume too much, and the larger it gets the more it needs to eat.
The reason no one notices is because they look all around and see that this is how the dollar system works, the political system works, and even corporations work.
When you look around you can’t see that this is wrong, that the fee market is not supposed to be alive. Most people are blind to this sort of parasitic relationship because this same relationship is being lived out between us and our government, us and our politicians, us and our banks.
We take free stuff in exchange for our vote, our support and is most cases (edit..our) freedom of thought.
We look around and see ton of examples of exactly why this sort of thing can live forever,,,,,, but forever in our minds is really only a few years. Some people can remember the 50s, and some the 30s, but almost no one remembers the 20s.
Our memories of money are short, and the system is producing flawed concepts that seem to work at a rapid pace. We don’t see many examples of honest hard work being the smart play. We don’t see systems where bad actors are penalized and honest actors are rewarded. We look all around and see the exact model of the miners getting rich off the value of the holders of the coin.
(edit......the reason bitcoin stands out is because honest hard work pays...)
The fee market was not a free market creation, it was created by a tiny change in the system satoshi designed. The fee market is a tumor. Unlike bitcoin that came as a solution to a market problem, the fee market was created by the block size limit. Satoshi could not have predicted any of what is happening now because there was no block size limit. The bitcoin project was so well thought through by Satoshi that the problem of the fee market was solved and the block reward decrease over time guaranteed the fee market would only exist when the timing is right.
Satoshi got so many things right from the start that it just wasn’t considered that a fee market developing too early would be a problem. (edit.....Satoshi never forsaw the problem because it wasn't possible) Without a block size limit the fee market simply couldn’t exist too early. The fees are just simply not there to be worth more than the block reward unless mass adoption had happened. The fee market was supposed to come after mass adoptions and the math of the original design guaranteed it.
You simply could never get enough fees to out earn the block reward in the beginning. It would take time, a much higher bitcoin price, and billions of transactions per day to generate enough fees to out earn a 50 bitcoin block reward. Then each time the block reward got cut in half the fee market got that much closer. As adoption started to take hold and people started to use bitcoin the block reward was still and is to this day still way too high to ever offset the block reward. The time for a fee market was when a transaction fee of 1 or 2 satoshis times millions or billions of transactions per block, and with a bitcoin price very high, and with a block reward very low (approaching zero) the fees would finally out value the block reward. This was not supposed to happen until the block reward was way lower than it is today, and when the adoption was much higher than it is today.
A tiny change to the protocol, the block size limit, that was put in place to guard against certain spam attacks created this problem.
This tiny little change created the fee market, and it gave birth to it way way way way to early.
The only thing to do is kill it, but we don’t have the heart and it’s begging us not to.
We just gave birth to an idea, and it is alive. The math is simple, it can’t survive. The math and the economics of the situation say either the mother or the child has to die. Once the mother dies the child will most likely die also. The smart thing to do is to let the child die and stop feeding it. The child is trying it’s best to convince us not to kill it, it wants to live. We the people who have been here from the start have a connection to the mother and the baby because we watched it grow and take on it’s own life. We don’t’ have the heart to kill it, so the number one human response kicks in, denial. “the baby is fine” they say. “We are seeking alternative treatments” they say. “We are all in this together” they say.
No one wants to admit that the baby must die, or the mother will die, and once the mother dies the baby’s chances of survival drop. ( miners can just switch coins so they won’t die, but the fee market will be done, they will end up mining for block rewards not fees) (the fee market will die).
We don’t have the heart to kill our baby, but we do have the heart to have another baby.
Deep down we know the fee market baby will die, and the mother of the fee market, bitcoin, will also likely die, mostly because the fee market is too selfish and greedy to stop feeding off the energy of it’s mother.
We don’t have the heart to kill the baby just to save the mom, so we decide to have a party and have some fun before the inevitable death of them both. We want to see them off, but we can’t help but think of our own future without them.
At the party we meet a new mother, and spawn a new baby, this one is going to be called bitcoin cash, and this time we won’t change systems that are already proven to work. We have learned from our mistakes and we will not let a fee market come into existence too soon. We will not let the developers gain too much control and we will keep the miners honest and we will understand their greed.
We realize the truth, we can have as many babies as we want.
Bitcoin cash proves we can have another baby, and that means we can have as many babies as we need. Sooner or later we will get it right. If bitcoin cash gets a tumor we can let it die peacefully and have a new baby that corrects that new tumor. We will evolve, we will fix the issues and make bitcoin great again.
Fee market, rest is peace, we just did the math and you’re going to die for now, but you will be back later, hopefully when the time is just right.
submitted by Jdamb to btc [link] [comments]

Of Wolves and Weasels - Day 187 - Guest Post: Confessions of a Bitcoiner

Hey all! GoodShibe... on Summer Vacation!
Please enjoy this post by Guest Writer Justlite and tip them well ;D)
Note: To tip them directly:
+dogetipbot @Justlite xxx doge verify
I've been part of this Dogecoin community since early January and I have to say the people here constantly amaze me. For me Dogecoin and this community is the future of cryptocurrency and I'm speaking as a long time Bitcoiner. Over a month ago I explained in a previous post why I believe Dogecoin price will rise again and correctly predicted Bitcoin to rise substantially shortly after my post against in the face of several counter arguments late last year. My thoughts have not changed on Dogecoin but I feel it's worth giving my experience on cryptocurrencies as a Bitcoiner in the early days of 2010-13 and how that compares with Dogecoin.
I bought Bitcoin and Litecoin in the early days and I can tell you the Bitcoin community back then was hopeful, cheerful and very welcoming...forgive us right now we are at the fighting stage with the established status quo wants to knock Bitcoin down.
In the early days we were only known for CPU/GPU mining discussions and tipping one another after each comment. In fact Bitcoin was only ever used to tip and trade but not to buy anything since we didn't have anything available for Bitcoin. We were very brave I mean wiring money to a company in Japan and getting these online things called Bitcoin which doesn't buy anything?!
Back then Bitcoin fans were seen as weird and Bitcoin as a complete joke we were idealist and we still are. Many of the people that fought us then were actually the libertarian precious metals community and because gold and silver were tangible and has been money for 5000 years Bitcoin wasn't and was barely a year old. It's hard to argue with them, after all some guy that called himself Satoshi Nakamoto, the Japanese equivalent of Jack Smith, created it but left after a year and no one saw how he looks like.
We could understand their concerns, a lot of early Bitcoiners like me also have gold and silver in the belief it will protect our wealth from the next financial collapse. But Bitcoin was created for this purpose too, no more will the 1% have economic power over the 99%, "1 CPU - 1 vote" said Satoshi in his white paper. We are also in the digital era and with all the success the internet is nowadays there still was no internet currency without the excessive charges of credit card companies.
Bitcoin changed all that it wasn't just an internet currency it was hoping to be money on every platform in every country, person to person, in at least 10 minutes between any country in any amount for free! Fast forward to present day and we are starting to see that.
Of course we have had many setbacks on the way, such as exchanges being hacked, wallets stolen. We weren't so security conscious back then and we learned the hard way.
Then we grew in price and popularity and quite recently the government fought us when our dark market Silk Road was shut down by the Feds. We have had 4 price bubbles a lot of sleepless nights I've personally ploughed in tens of thousands of dollars lost a lot of Bitcoins on the way (and also lost 15000 Litecoins) and forced to read articles with declarations of "Bitcoin is dead" after each major price drop.
Sound familiar?
"History doesn't repeat it self but it does rhyme" Mark Twain
That's all part of the growing pains of a disruptive idea.
Dogecoin, by comparison, has a whole economy after just 7 months of inception! It's remarkable as I am also a big Litecoin fan and even that community isn't as productive as this. People talk about Dogecoin's PR as it being behind its popularity but I honestly believe there is no intentional PR, I mean where is the PR team?
I believe it was a combination of a friendly meme encouraging positive kind people, a internet currency that's easily explainable to anyone, a very mineable coin using your PC/laptop so everyone can get involved in and great online platform such as Reddit to connect like minded users together and everything just snowballed from there.
Now Dogecoin is one of the most productive coins out there with several client and core devs, hundreds of retailers, apps, doge specific websites, blogs and charity fundraisers. That's why I believe Dogecoin is undervalued right now.
This doesn't mean you should put your life savings into Dogecoin or other cryptocurrencies as they are still a risk and early stage technology. Just buy with what you can afford to lose!
So where is Dogecoin heading? - The analysis
As long as we still use doge for goods and services and keep the positivity going then I can only see the price of doge going higher and reaching all time highs without the need for manipulation. Over what time frame?
Like Bitcoin it won't be overnight and granted there's no supply limit so it will never reach tens or hundreds of dollars but we don't need it to. I honestly want Dogecoin to be a currency and I personally like having whole doges. Ideally I would hope that 1 or even 10 doge will buy 1 loaf of bread or 1 litre of milk at my local grocery store some day.
Supply vs Demand
As I mentioned before the supply coming to the exchanges from multipools has been immense - it is thought about 160 million doge a day is being mined and sold on exchanges just from miners. This not only exerts a lot of selling pressure but it also encourages weak hands to sell forcing the price down further it's a downward spiral which we have been seeing.
Any other coin would have collapsed long ago but doge is no ordinary coin. After the next two halvings in October time it will be down to 40 million a day and low enough to allow for natural demand to outpace the supply causing the price to increase steadily which will give momentum and may then lead to a new all time high and the second bubble.
Network Hashrate
I'm of the belief that ASICs are a necessary evolution in cryptocurrencies by making a coin secure which will attract investment/adoption and environmentally friendly. With scrypt ASICs large and small coming online the network hashrate has more than doubled in the last 2 months from 40 GH/s to 90 GH/s and while we tend to see a jump in hashrate just before a halvening I attribute this rise to small miners also buying ASICs and a lack of more profitable altcoins. Again that's great for the stability of our coin and this will provide further confidence that Dogecoin is a good crypto to buy/adopt/invest.
Deflationary Inflation
Sounds confusing so let me explain unlike Bitcoin where there will only be 21 million coins mined, Dogecoin will reach 100 billion coins mined after block 600k and then see 5.25 billion coins mined each year forever which works out as 5.25% inflation in the first year and then 4.99% in the second year and so on.
While this may seem a lot I have come to the conclusion that it may be a blessing for Dogecoin as it is thought that 5 billion coins per year would be lost permanently anyway so this will 5.25billion coins would replace the lost coins. The extra 5.25 billion coins per year would be enough to incentivise miners to continue mining doge (which would hopefully be at a high enough price after the 600k block reward) and securing our network.
Because Bitcoin has a cap it is seen as a store of value like gold whereas Dogecoin has a infinite supply but at a predictably low yearly increase in fact from 2015 to 2020 Dogecoin will have less yearly inflation than Bitcoin. This can actually encourage people to treat Dogecoin as a true currency to buy everyday items with than as a store of value. I believe that is what Satoshi envisioned Bitcoin to be.
What are the whales doing?
The top 20 dogecoin addresses which account for 40% of all mined Dogecoin out there haven't sold any of their DOGEs.
The whales with large wallets have not sold their DOGE over the course of the last 4 months but the smaller wallets have! Why? The whales are happy to see their DOGE go to zero if they thought it was dying or they have been there and done that and know that perhaps Dogecoin is heading up? I can tell you I have no intention of selling my DOGEs as I believe interesting times are ahead.
The Bitcoin Effect
Bitcoin has paved the way for a crypto to go from $0.0001 to $1000+ and brought technological development, liberty and a sense of community all in a 5 year timespan.
While only $0.00023 Dogecoin has got an ecosystem, a following, funded several charity efforts and a burgeoning economy after only 7 months thanks in part to the network effect of Bitcoin and the rest down to you.
All I can say to you all is well done to all of you for being such a positive and productive community. Keep using Dogecoin and check the links at the side bar such as dogedoor.net and suchlist.com so that you can spend, buy, tip and mine doge and spread the word.
Now let's go to the moon!
TL;DR - Bitcoin had it's ups and downs and not short of haters over the years. Dogecoin is following the same path but in a shorter time frame. After the next 2 halvings Dogecoin price should be rising and adoption will speed up again which will make it a true currency so keep buying using and tipping doge wherever you can.
It's 8:09AM EST and we've found 87.24% of our initial 100 Billion DOGEs -- only 12.76% remains until our period of Hyper-inflation ends! Our Global Hashrate is up from ~76 to ~92 Gigahashes per second and our Difficulty is up from ~1196 to ~1351.
I Hope you enjoyed today's Guest Post by Justlite!
Note: To tip them directly:
+dogetipbot @Justlite xxx doge verify
GoodShibe
submitted by GoodShibe to dogecoin [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Death Spiral. Miners REKT. Bitmain Shutdown? China Losing Control!! Bitcoin RoadShow - Lets talk about ETH, baby (&BTC) will ... Why is bitcoin the salvation of Humanity? Why Cryptocurruncy and Bitcoin is Fall Down?  16 JANUARY 2018 Will Bitcoin Fall Further?

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